Publications

Working Paper No. 584 | February 2010

The Global Crisis and the Future of the Dollar: Toward Bretton Woods III?

This paper investigates the United States dollar’s role as the international currency of choice as a key contributing factor in critical global developments that led to the crisis of 2007–09, and considers the future role of the dollar as the global economy emerges from that crisis. It is argued that the dollar is likely to retain its hegemonic status for a few more decades, but that United States spending powered by public rather than private debt would provide a more sustainable motor for global growth. In the process, the “Bretton Woods II” regime depicted by Dooley, Folkerts-Landau, and Garber (2003) as sustainable despite featuring persistent US current account deficits may turn into a “Bretton Woods III” regime that sees US fiscal policy and public debt as “minding the store” in maintaining US and global growth.

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Quantitative Easing and Asset Bubbles in a Stock-flow Consistent Framework
Author(s): Cameron Haas, Tai Young-Taft
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