Publications

43 publications found, searching for 'Pavlina R. Tcherneva '

• Policy Notes April 21, 2025

  Remembering Pope Francis’s Call for a Universal Basic Wage

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  On April 21, 2025, a day after Easter Sunday, the world mourned the passing of His Holiness Pope Francis. Five years earlier, on Easter Sunday, April 12, 2020—amid the devastating COVID-19 pandemic—he issued a powerful plea for economic justice, urging leaders to address the deepening crisis of insecurity faced by workers. His call for a universal […]

  Download Policy Note 2025/2 PDF (207.42 KB)
• Public Policy Brief No. 158 March 04, 2025

  That “Vision Thing”: Formulating a Winning Policy Agenda

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva, and L. Randall Wray
  Abstract

  For a PDF version of this Public Policy Brief, please click here. There are many ways to lose a presidential election, and pundits have come up with a long list: President Biden hung on too long; voters still weren’t ready for a female of color—too many are racist and sexist; too many leftists supported third […]

  Download Public Policy Brief No. 158 PDF (2.33 MB)
• Working Paper No. 1071 December 10, 2024

  Tilting at Windmills

  James K. Galbraith, and Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  Originally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 14, May 2023 The Central Bank of the United States, the Federal Reserve, has a dual mandate to maintain both full employment and price stability. However, inflation-fighting had always eclipsed the full employment objective without much accountability. Today, the Federal Reserve provides regular testimony before Congress on how […]

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• Working Paper No. 1064 December 06, 2024

  Seismic Shifts in Economic Theory and Policy from the Bernanke Doctrine to Modern Money Theory

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva, and Éric Tymoigne
  Abstract

  Originally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 08, 2022  This paper evaluates the relationship between monetary and fiscal policy and the relative effectiveness of macroeconomic stabilization through the lens of Modern Money Theory (MMT). We articulate previously-neglected aspects of monetary sovereignty to offer a new interpretation of the Bernanke Doctrine that emerged in the wake of […]

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• Working Paper No. 1060 November 26, 2024

  The Job Guarantee

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  Originally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 02, 2022 Orthodox economic theory presents the policy maker with an impossible choice: eradicate unemployment at the cost of undesirable inflation or keep prices stable by maintaining some level of involuntary unemployment. This is the canon, as embodied in the natural rate of unemployment theory and the Non-Accelerating […]

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• Working Paper No. 1059 November 26, 2024

  Three Lessons from Government Spending and the Post-Pandemic Recovery

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  Originally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 01, 2021 The central lesson of the COVID-19 fiscal response is that money is not scarce. Without delay, governments around the world appropriated budgets that dwarfed any other postwar crisis policy. In 2020, Japan passed a stimulus package equal to 54.8 percent of GDP, while in the U.S., […]

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• Policy Notes November 07, 2024

  Trump Wins While Americans Vote for Progressive Policies

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  On November 5, 2024, American voters sent Donald Trump back to the White House. In 2020, he lost his bid for reelection to Joe Biden, after winning in 2016 against Hillary Clinton (but only thanks to the electoral college). This time, however, Trump won the popular vote. All the new energy that surrounded the Harris-Walz campaign […]

  Download Policy Note 2024/3 PDF (182.86 KB)
• Book Series July 07, 2020

  The Case for a Job Guarantee

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  One of the most enduring ideas in economics is that unemployment is both unavoidable and necessary for the smooth functioning of the economy. This assumption has provided cover for the devastating social and economic costs of job insecurity. It is also false. In this book, leading expert Pavlina R. Tcherneva challenges us to imagine a world where the phantom of […]

• Policy Notes No. 4 May 05, 2020

  Guaranteeing Employment during the Pandemic and Beyond

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  The ongoing job losses, already numbering in the tens of millions, and the mass unemployment that will remain once the COVID-19 crisis has passed are of our own making, argues Pavlina R. Tcherneva, created by our inability to conceive of policies that protect and create jobs on demand. There is another option: instead of capitulating […]

  Download Policy Note 2020/4 PDF (108.51 KB)
• One-Pager No. 55 May 29, 2018

  The Job Guarantee and the Economics of Fear

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  The job guarantee (JG) is finally getting the public debate it deserves, according to Pavlina R. Tcherneva, and criticism is expected. Following the Levy Institute’s latest report analyzing the economic impact of a JG proposal and providing a blueprint for its implementation, Tcherneva responds to alarmist claims that the JG is (1) an expensive big-government […]

  Download One-Pager No. 55 PDF (102.53 KB)
• Research Project Report April 17, 2018

  Public Service Employment

  L. Randall Wray, Flavia Dantas, Scott Fullwiler, Pavlina R. Tcherneva, and Stephanie A. Kelton
  Abstract

  Despite reports of a healthy US labor market, millions of Americans remain unemployed and underemployed, or have simply given up looking for work. It is a problem that plagues our economy in good times and in bad—there are never enough jobs available for all who want to work. L. Randall Wray, Flavia Dantas, Scott Fullwiler, […]

  Download Research Project Report, April 2018 PDF (2.04 MB)
• Working Paper No. 902 April 02, 2018

  The Job Guarantee

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  The job guarantee (JG) is a public option for jobs. It is a permanent, federally funded, and locally administered program that supplies voluntary employment opportunities on demand for all who are ready and willing to work at a living wage. While it is first and foremost a jobs program, it has the potential to be […]

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• Policy Notes No. 2 March 19, 2018

  Guaranteed Jobs through a Public Service Employment Program

  Stephanie A. Kelton, L. Randall Wray, Pavlina R. Tcherneva, Scott Fullwiler, and Flavia Dantas
  Abstract

  Amid a recent upsurge in support for a national job guarantee program, L. Randall Wray, Stephanie A. Kelton, Pavlina R. Tcherneva, Scott Fullwiler, and Flavia Dantas outline a new proposal for a federally funded program with decentralized administration. Their Public Service Employment (PSE) program would offer a job—paying a uniform living wage with a basic […]

  Download Policy Note 2018/2 PDF (248.94 KB)
• Working Paper No. 895 August 23, 2017

  Unemployment: The Silent Epidemic

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  This paper examines two key aspects of unemployment—its propagation mechanism and socioeconomic costs. It identifies a key feature of this macroeconomic phenomenon: it behaves like a disease. A detailed assessment of the transmission mechanism and the existing pecuniary and nonpecuniary costs of unemployment suggests a fundamental shift in the policy responses to tackling joblessness. To […]

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• Policy Notes No. 1 April 06, 2017

  Inequality Update: Who Gains When Income Grows?

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  Since the 1980s, economic recoveries in the United States have been delivering the vast majority of income growth to the wealthiest households. This policy note updates the analysis in One-Pager No. 47 and Policy Note 2015/4 with the latest data through 2015, looking at the distribution of average income growth (with and without capital gains) […]

  Download Policy Note 2017/1 PDF (395.43 KB)
• Working Paper No. 887 March 20, 2017

  Trump’s Bait and Switch

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  President Trump’s faux populism may deliver some immediate short-term benefits to the economy, masking the devastating long-term effects from his overall policy strategy. The latter can be termed “welfare state sabotage” and is a wholesale assault on essential public sector institutions and macroeconomic stabilization features that were built during the New Deal era and ushered […]

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• Working Paper No. 861 March 01, 2016

  Money, Power, and Monetary Regimes

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  Money, in this paper, is defined as a power relationship of a specific kind, a stratified social debt relationship, measured in a unit of account determined by some authority. A brief historical examination reveals its evolving nature in the process of social provisioning. Money not only predates markets and real exchange as understood in mainstream […]

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• Policy Notes No. 4 March 30, 2015

  When a Rising Tide Sinks Most Boats

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  In the postwar period, with every subsequent expansion, a smaller and smaller share of the gains in income growth have gone to the bottom 90 percent of families. Worse, in the latest expansion, while the economy has grown and average real income has recovered from its 2008 lows, all of the growth has gone to […]

  Download Policy Note 2015/4 PDF (561.81 KB)
• Policy Notes No. 4 March 30, 2015

  Όταν αυτό που είναι καλό για έναν δεν είναι καλό για όλους μας

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  Στη μεταπολεμική περίοδο, κάθε μεταγενέστερη οικονομική επέκταση συνοδεύθηκε από το φαινόμενο ενός όλο και μικρότερου ποσοστού της αύξησης του εισοδήματος να καταλήγει στο 90% των χαμηλότερων εισοδηματικών στρωμάτων.Ακόμη χειρότερα, κατά τη διάρκεια της τελευταίας επέκτασης, ενώ η οικονομία αναπτύχθηκε και το μέσο πραγματικό εισόδημα ανέκαμψε από τα επίπεδα του 2008, το σύνολο της αύξησης του […]

  Download Σημείωμα Πολιτικής 2015/4 PDF (547.61 KB)
• One-Pager No. 47 October 06, 2014

  Growth for Whom?

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  In the postwar period, income growth has become more inequitably distributed with virtually every subsequent economic expansion. From 2009 to 2012, while the economy was recovering from one of the biggest economic downturns in recent memory, the top 1 percent took home 95 percent of the income gains. To reverse this pattern, Research Associate Pavlina […]

  Download One-Pager No. 47 PDF (113.75 KB)
• One-Pager No. 47 October 06, 2014

  Ανάπτυξη για ποιόν;

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  Στη μεταπολεμική περίοδο, η αύξηση του εισοδήματος έχει γίνει πιο άνισα κατανεμημένη με κάθε επακόλουθη οικονομική επέκταση. Από το 2009 μέχρι το 2012, ενώ η οικονομία ανακάμπτει από μια από τις μεγαλύτερες οικονομικές υφέσεις στην πρόσφατη ιστορία, το 95% των εισοδηματικών κερδών πηγαίνει στο 1% του πληθυσμού. Για να αντιστραφεί αυτή η τάση, η ερευνήτρια […]

  Download Μονοσέλιδο No.47 PDF (229.13 KB)
• Working Paper No. 789 March 03, 2014

  Full Employment

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  It is common knowledge that John Maynard Keynes advocated bold government action to deal with recessions and unemployment. What is not commonly known is that modern “Keynesian policies” bear little, if any, resemblance to the policy measures Keynes himself believed would guarantee true full employment over the long run. This paper corrects this misconception and […]

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• Working Paper No. 789 March 03, 2014

  Πλήρης Απασχόληση

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  Είναι κοινώς γνωστό ότι ο John Maynard Keynes υπήρξε ο βασικός υποστηρικτής του κρατικού παρεμβατισμού για την αντιμετώπιση της ύφεσης και της ανεργίας. Αυτό που δεν είναι ευρέως γνωστό είναι ότι οι σύγχρονες «κεϋνσιανές πολιτικές» δεν έχουν τίποτα το κοινό με τα μέτρα πολιτικής που ο ίδιος ο Keynes θεωρούσε απαραίτητα για την επίτευξη της […]

  Download Επιστημονική Εργασία υπό Εξέλιξη (Working Paper) No. 789 PDF (338.17 KB)
• Policy Notes No. 1 January 30, 2014

  The Social Enterprise Model for a Job Guarantee in the United States

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  The job guarantee is a proposal that provides greater macroeconomic stability and secures a fundamental human right. Despite the economic and moral merits of this policy, often the program is rejected because of concerns about its administration. How would the program be implemented? Who will create the jobs? Can work be found for every unemployed […]

  Download Policy Note 2014/1 PDF (257.68 KB)