Publications

12 publications found, searching for 'The Trump Economy '

• Working Paper No. 1100
  November 05, 2025

  The Death of the Social Contract and the Enshittification of Jobs

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  This paper employs the concept of “enshittification”—the systematic degradation of a service or product in the pursuit of profit—as a powerful metaphor to analyze the decay of the US labor…more

  Download Working Paper No. 1100 PDF (433.33 KB)
• Strategic Analysis
  October 14, 2025

  The US Economy amid Rising Global Uncertainty

  Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, Giuliano Toshiro Yajima, and Gennaro Zezza
  Abstract

  Contrary to upbeat announcements on the prospects for the US economy from the current administration in Washington, economic conditions are softening for this year. The market for labor is increasing…more

  Download Strategic Analysis, October 2025 PDF (1.02 MB)
• Policy Note No. 2025/7
  September 19, 2025

  No, the Fed Is NOT Independent—It Is a Creature of Congress

  Yeva Nersisyan and L. Randall Wray
  Abstract

  In response to President Trump’s attack on the Federal Reserve, the natural critics of misguided monetary policy find themselves defending the Fed and the notion that the Fed is—and must…more

  Download Policy Note No. 2025/7 PDF (186.35 KB)
• Policy Note No. 2025/6
  August 21, 2025

  The USMCA Is Not Competitive Against China

  Arturo Huerta G.
  Abstract

  The governments of the US and Canada are pressuring Mexico not to import products or accept investments from China, such that Mexico would be forced to import products from them…more

  Download Policy Note PDF (193.64 KB)
• Working Paper No. 1084
  July 09, 2025

  MMT: Heuristics versus Paradigm Shift?

  L. Randall Wray
  Abstract

  This is a revised version of the keynote address presented at the FDR library for the Levy Institute Summer Seminar on Money, Finance, and Public Policy on June 20th, 2025.

  Download Working Paper No. 1084 PDF (222.28 KB)
• Policy Note No. 2025/3
  May 20, 2025

  What Do We Save When We DOGE the Government?

  Mark Silverman and Yeva Nersisyan
  Abstract

  The second Trump administration has seemingly added a new term to the English vocabulary – getting DOGE-ed. Almost every week we hear about another government agency getting the DOGE treatment,…more

  Download Policy Note No. 2025/3 PDF (426.94 KB)
• One-Pager No. 73
  May 05, 2025

  The Incoming Recession: Are Imports the Real Culprit?

  Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, Giuliano Toshiro Yajima, and Gennaro Zezza
  Abstract

  The preliminary estimates for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 show an annualized contraction rate of 0.28 percent, along with an extraordinary increase in imports of 41.3…more

  Download One-Pager No. 73 PDF (285.37 KB)
• Policy Note No. 2025/1
  April 21, 2025

  Trump’s Tariffs: Ending Globalization

  Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, Giuliano Toshiro Yajima, and Gennaro Zezza
  Abstract

  The Trump administration is reintroducing a number of 40-year-old, Reagan-era economic and military policies, but is particularly preoccupied with the imposition of tariffs for all of the country’s imports. Trump,…more

  Download Policy Note 2025/1 PDF (877.05 KB)
• Public Policy Brief No. 158
  March 04, 2025

  That “Vision Thing”: Formulating a Winning Policy Agenda

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva and L. Randall Wray
  Abstract

  For a PDF version of this Public Policy Brief, please click here. There are many ways to lose a presidential election, and pundits have come up with a long list:…more

  Download Public Policy Brief No. 158 PDF (2.33 MB)
• Policy Note No. 2024/3
  November 07, 2024

  Trump Wins While Americans Vote for Progressive Policies

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  On November 5, 2024, American voters sent Donald Trump back to the White House. In 2020, he lost his bid for reelection to Joe Biden, after winning in 2016 against…more

  Download Policy Note 2024/3 PDF (182.86 KB)
• Strategic Analysis
  November 05, 2024

  Economic Challenges of the New U.S. Administration

  Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, Nikolaos Rodousakis, Giuliano Toshiro Yajima, and Gennaro Zezza
  Abstract

  On the eve of the 2024 US presidential election, the authors share their latest macroeconomic projections using the Levy Institute’s tailored stock-flow consistent model and evaluate two alternative policy scenarios, depending upon the next occupant of the White House: (1) a significant increase in import tariffs and decrease in the marginal tax rate, and (2) a substantial increase in government expenditure paired with an increase in the marginal tax rate.

  Download Strategic Analysis November 2024 PDF (673.85 KB)
• Policy Note No. 2024/2
  November 04, 2024

  Inflation

  Edward Lane
  Abstract

  Edward Lane surveys some of the main potential contributors to the recent period of elevated inflation rates in the US economy—focusing on supply disruptions, inflation-adjusted consumer spending, and consumer spending…more

  Download Policy Note 2024/2 PDF (562.43 KB)