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Working Paper No. 1122Plutonomy—the AI Edition—and the Coming Crisis
July 08, 2026 This paper examines the rise of the plutonomy—an economy dominated by the new plutocrats—and compares it with the Gilded Age of the 1920s. We show how John Kenneth Galbraith’s analysis...more Publication -
Policy Note No. 2026/4The Retailization of Private Markets and the Rise of Ponzi Finance
July 02, 2026 Read the Working Paper by Tymoigne on this topic here. Introduction Following the 2008 financial crisis, the US entered an economic environment characterized by low interest rates, cautious banks, and...more Publication -
Working Paper No. 1120Technology Gap and Endogenous Conflict
June 30, 2026 This paper investigates the endogenous mechanism by which decentralized technological imitation in Southern countries transitions from catch-up to competitive conflict with the North. Integrating intermediate goods variety into a North-South...more Publication -
Tcherneva weighs in on new memo to investors from JP Morgan Chase CEO on Marketplace
April 07, 2026 Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, put out his annual letter to shareholders this week. Levy President Pavlina R. Tcherneva weighed in on this morning’s Marketplace report with NPR. “These types...more News -
Policy Note No. 2025/8How Secure Is Wage Employment in Sub-Saharan Africa?
October 08, 2025 Employment security refers to the ability of both formal and informal institutions to provide employed individuals protection against economic risks and support their economic progress. It is related, but not...more Publication -
Working Paper No. 1092
Recent Initiatives in Improving the Collection of Time-use Data for Measuring Work: Some Issues
September 19, 2025 Time-use data are expected to help in understanding and addressing critical socioeconomic concerns including gender inequalities in a country. The data also help in integrating gender into economic analysis and...more Publication -
BlogClimate Catastrophe and the Second Coming
August 21, 2025 Back in the early 2000s, financial market participants would wisecrack that unlikely events that should happen once in 10,000 years were occurring every month. We know where that led—to the Global Financial Crisis. Everything crashed. The Fed had to spend and lend $29 trillion to bail out the world’s financial system. It took economies a [...] Blog -
Working Paper No. 1086
Financial Fragility Without Financial Instability
July 29, 2025 Between the late 1990s and mid-2000s, China’s banking sector underwent a profound yet largely underappreciated transformation—arguably one of the most consequential episodes of financial restructuring in recent economic history. This...more Publication -
Policy Note No. 2025/4Ratings Agencies Downgrade the Dollar’s Exorbitant Privilege
May 22, 2025 They are at it again. Moody’s has finally joined the other two ratings agencies in downgrading US government debt. Standard & Poor’s downgrade was first in 2011[1], while Fitch waited...more Publication -
One-Pager No. 73The Incoming Recession: Are Imports the Real Culprit?
May 05, 2025 The preliminary estimates for real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025 show an annualized contraction rate of 0.28 percent, along with an extraordinary increase in imports of 41.3...more Publication -
Policy Note No. 2025/1Trump’s Tariffs: Ending Globalization
April 21, 2025 The Trump administration is reintroducing a number of 40-year-old, Reagan-era economic and military policies, but is particularly preoccupied with the imposition of tariffs for all of the country’s imports. Trump,...more Publication -
BlogThe Levy Institute and the Future of Economics
April 04, 2025 According to my vita, my first paper for the Levy Economics Institute, “Unemployment, Inflation, and the Job Structure,” was first published almost exactly thirty years ago, in May 1995.[1] It was a categorical dissent from the micro-market framework, dominant then and still, of mainstream economics. The abstract reads: In this working paper, James K. Galbraith [...] Blog -
Public Policy Brief No. 158That “Vision Thing”: Formulating a Winning Policy Agenda
March 04, 2025 For a PDF version of this Public Policy Brief, please click here. There are many ways to lose a presidential election, and pundits have come up with a long list:...more Publication -
Policy Note No. 2024/1The Boy Who Cried Wolf About Government Debt
October 11, 2024 In a New York Times editorial, David Leonhardt recounts Aesop’s apocryphal story about the boy and the wolf, warning that while deficit hawks have so far been wrong, the growing government debt will eventually bite. He reports the economic plans of both presidential candidates would add to the debt that will soon exceed GDP and grow to 130 percent of annual output under a President Harris, or 140 percent with a Trump presidency. The story of the boy and the wolf was a fable, although it was within the realm of possibility. The fable of the debt wolf is not. While there are real world wolves—Leonhardt mentions climate catastrophe and autocratic leaders, and the authors would add rising inequality and the concentration of economic and political power in the hands of billionaires—authors Yeva Nersisyan and L. Randall Wray assert, federal debt is not one of them. Publication -
BlogHow the Taxpayer Myth Gives Life to the Neoliberal Agenda
March 01, 2024 The taxpayer narrative is pervasive. It is present in the budgeting process, in the framing of government policies and in daily political life. Issues and debates about the public purpose are all cast in terms of the financials. The first thing asked about a proposed spending policy is “how are we going to pay for [...] Blog -
Working Paper No. 1030
Economic Transformation and Growth in the Philippines
October 09, 2023 The main gateway for the Philippines to develop and become an upper-middle-income economy—and eventually, a high-income economy—is to expedite the shift of workers out of agriculture and to produce and...more Publication -
Working Paper No. 1005
A Prototype Regional Stock-Flow Consistent Model
April 15, 2022 Starting from the seminal works of Wynne Godley (1999; Godley and Lavoie 2005, 2007a, 2007b), the literature adopting stock-flow consistent (SFC) models for two or more countries has been flourishing,...more Publication -
BlogIncreasing Diversity in Economics Is Not Only a Moral Obligation
December 08, 2020 November 3rd, 2019, I delivered remarks on the closing panel of The New School/UMASS Amherst Graduate workshop held in New York City. The panel theme was “Broadening the boundaries of political economy”. I have since graduated and successfully gone through the job market. I hope my remarks from last year can serve as encouragement for [...] Blog -
Working Paper No. 970
Quality of Match for Statistical Matches Used in the Development of the Levy Institute Measure of Time and Consumption Poverty (LIMTCP) for Ethiopia and South Africa
September 25, 2020 This paper presents a description of the quality of match of the statistical matches used in the Levy Institute Measure of Time and Consumption Poverty (LIMTCP) estimates prepared for Ethiopia...more Publication -
Working Paper No. 949
A Labor Market–Augmented Empirical Stock-Flow Consistent Model Applied to the Greek Economy
February 12, 2020 This paper extends the empirical stock-flow consistent (SFC) literature through the introduction of distributional features and labor market institutions in a Godley-type empirical SFC model. In particular, labor market institutions,...more Publication -
Working Paper No. 930
A Semi-Parametric Approach to the Oaxaca-Blinder Decomposition with Continuous Group Variable and Self-Selection
May 21, 2019 This paper describes the application of a semiparametric approach, known as a varying coefficients model (Hastie and Tibshirani 1993), to implement a Oaxaca-Blinder type of decomposition in the presence of...more Publication -
Working Paper No. 927
Recentered Influence Functions in Stata
April 26, 2019 Recentered influence functions (RIFs) are statistical tools popularized by Firpo, Fortin, and Lemieux (2009) for analyzing unconditional partial effects on quantiles in a regression analysis framework (unconditional quantile regressions). The...more Publication -
Blog
Big Guns Shooting Holes in the Sky
March 12, 2019 The New Keynesian monetary mainstream has brought out the big guns. Paul Krugman, Kenneth Rogoff, and Larry Summers have come out to shoot down the rising star known as “MMT,” which stands for Modern Monetary Theory. For a while, it was academically convenient to withhold paying any public attention that could foster competition in the [...] Blog -
Working Paper No. 922
It Pays to Study for the Right Job
February 05, 2019 With the rapid increase in educational attainment, technological change, and greater job specialization, decisions regarding human capital investment are no longer exclusively about the quantity of education, but rather the...more Publication