Strategic Analysis | July 2001

As the Implosion Begins . . . ?

Prospects and Policies for the U.S. Economy: A Strategic View

The American economy is probably now in recession, and a prolonged period of subnormal growth and rising unemployment is likely unless there is another round of policy changes. A further relaxation of fiscal policy will probably be needed, but if a satisfactory rate of growth is to be sustained, this will have to be complemented by measures that raise exports relative to imports.

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