Publications

201 publications found, searching for 'Financial Instability '

• Working Paper No. 1098
  October 17, 2025

  Creative Destruction Meets Financial Instability: Toward a New Synthesis

  Leonardo Burlamaqui
  Abstract

  This paper reconstructs Joseph Schumpeter’s major works to propose a coherent new departure point for analyzing economic and social change. I argue that Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy (1942) (CSD) marks…more

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• Strategic Analysis
  October 14, 2025

  The US Economy amid Rising Global Uncertainty

  Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, Giuliano Toshiro Yajima, and Gennaro Zezza
  Abstract

  Contrary to upbeat announcements on the prospects for the US economy from the current administration in Washington, economic conditions are softening for this year. The market for labor is increasing…more

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• Working Paper No. 1094
  October 01, 2025

  Lebanon’s Eventual Transition to a Floating Exchange Rate System

  Roudy Sassine
  Abstract

  Lebanon’s longstanding fixed exchange rate regime collapsed in the wake of the country’s 2019 financial crisis. This paper examines the underlying monetary factors that contributed to the collapse, offering a…more

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• Working Paper No. 1091
  September 04, 2025

  Banking on Payments?

  Jörg Bibow
  Abstract

  For the past hundred years or more, payments have been primarily associated with banking, and banking as we know it today—being the result of many centuries of evolution—features a bundling…more

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• Working Paper No. 1089
  August 07, 2025

  Rising Temperatures, Falling Yields: The Effect of Climate Shocks on Olive Oil Production in Palestine

  Yousuf Daas, Sameh Hallaq, Kenichi Kashiwagi, and Keiichi Ogawa
  Abstract

  This study investigates the effect of climate shocks on olive oil production in Palestine, a region acutely vulnerable to both environmental change and political instability. We estimate the influences of…more

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• Working Paper No. 1087
  July 30, 2025

  A Model of External Debt Sustainability and Monetary Hierarchy

  Nicolás M. Burotto
  Abstract

  The author develops a dynamic macroeconomic model of a small open economy to identify two key vulnerabilities that prevent emerging markets from fully integrating into global markets: high financial integration…more

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• Working Paper No. 1086
  July 29, 2025

  Financial Fragility Without Financial Instability

  Leonardo Burlamaqui
  Abstract

  Between the late 1990s and mid-2000s, China’s banking sector underwent a profound yet largely underappreciated transformation—arguably one of the most consequential episodes of financial restructuring in recent economic history. This…more

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• Working Paper No. 1075
  January 23, 2025

  The High Cost of the Strong Peso and Its Temporary Nature: The Case of Mexico

  Arturo Huerta G.
  Abstract

  The article analyzes why exchange rate stability has been prioritized in Mexico and why the national currency has appreciated; which policies and factors have made this possible, the costs and…more

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• Working Paper No. 1071
  December 10, 2024

  Tilting at Windmills

  James K. Galbraith and Pavlina R. Tcherneva
  Abstract

  Originally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 14, May 2023 The Central Bank of the United States, the Federal Reserve, has a dual mandate to maintain both full employment and…more

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• Working Paper No. 1066
  December 06, 2024

  Job Guarantee Program and the Kaleckian Dilemma

  Caio Vilella and Eduardo F. Bastian
  Abstract

  Originally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 10, November 2023 Minsky (1965) has presented the Job Guarantee program as a recommendation in the war against unemployment and poverty. Kalecki (1943),…more

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• Working Paper No. 1064
  December 06, 2024

  Seismic Shifts in Economic Theory and Policy from the Bernanke Doctrine to Modern Money Theory

  Pavlina R. Tcherneva and Éric Tymoigne
  Abstract

  Originally issued as EDI Working Paper No. 08, 2022  This paper evaluates the relationship between monetary and fiscal policy and the relative effectiveness of macroeconomic stabilization through the lens of…more

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• Working Paper No. 1062
  December 03, 2024

  The Value of Money

  L. Randall Wray
  Abstract

  This paper examines heterodox theories of the determinants of the value of money. Orthodox approaches that tie money’s value to relative scarcity of money or to the price level are…more

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• Strategic Analysis
  June 04, 2024

  U.S. Economic Outlook: Prospects for 2024 and Beyond

  Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, Giuliano Toshiro Yajima, and Gennaro Zezza
  Abstract

  In this report, Institute President Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, Research Scholar Giuliano T. Yajima, and Senior Scholar Gennaro Zezza discuss the rapid recovery of the US economy in the post-pandemic period….more

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• Working Paper No. 1021
  June 29, 2023

  Can It Be Prevented This Time?

  Giuseppe Mastromatteo and Lorenzo Esposito
  Abstract

  Since the nineties, crises have punctuated financial markets, shattering the conventional wisdom about how these markets work and how to regulate them, and forcing a deep rethinking of the supervisory…more

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• One-Pager No. 66
  April 01, 2021

  Anatomy of a Stock Market Bubble

  Frank Veneroso
  Abstract

  According to Frank Veneroso, a broad subset of today’s US stock market has become what he calls a “pure price-chasing bubble.” Examination of the history of comparable pure price-chasing bubbles…more

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• Working Paper No. 987
  March 22, 2021

  The Souk Al-Manakh

  Frank Veneroso and Mark Pasquali
  Abstract

  It is widely agreed that the Nasdaq during the dot-com era 20 years ago was a full-fledged stock market bubble. Recently, the US stock market according to many metrics has…more

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• Working Paper No. 986
  March 10, 2021

  Keynes’s Theories of the Business Cycle

  Pablo Gabriel Bortz
  Abstract

  This paper traces the evolution of John Maynard Keynes’s theory of the business cycle from his early writings in 1913 to his policy prescriptions for the control of fluctuations in…more

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• Working Paper No. 974
  October 05, 2020

  The General Theory as “Depression Economics”?

  Jörg Bibow
  Abstract

  This paper revisits Keynes’s writings from Indian Currency and Finance (1913) to The General Theory (1936) with a focus on financial instability. The analysis reveals Keynes’s astute concerns about the…more

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• Working Paper No. 972
  September 30, 2020

  In the Long Run We Are All Herd

  Giuseppe Mastromatteo and Lorenzo Esposito
  Abstract

  Since the 2008 crisis, the economics literature has shown a renewed interest in Keynes’s “beauty contest” (BC) as a fundamental aspect of the functioning of financial markets. We argue that…more

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• Working Paper No. 971
  September 28, 2020

  Ecology, Economics, and Network Dynamics

  Tai Young-Taft, Harold M. Hastings, and Chih-Jui Tsen
  Abstract

  In a seminal 1972 paper, Robert M. May asked: “Will a Large Complex System Be Stable?” and argued that stability (of a broad class of random linear systems) decreases with…more

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• Working Paper No. 968
  September 14, 2020

  The COVID-19 Crisis

  Leonardo Burlamaqui and Ernani T. Torres Filho
  Abstract

  The COVID-19 crisis paralyzed huge parts of the planet in weeks. It not only infected the population but injected a gargantuan dose of uncertainty into the system. In that regard,…more

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• Public Policy Brief No. 150
  June 03, 2020

  The Impact of Technological Innovations on Money and Financial Markets

  Jan Kregel and Paolo Savona
  Abstract

  According to Senior Scholar Jan Kregel and Paolo Savona, attempting to maintain the status quo in the face of the introduction of some recent technological innovations—chiefly cryptocurrencies and associated instruments…more

  Download Public Policy Brief No. 150, 2020 PDF (339.66 KB)
• Policy Note No. 1
  March 19, 2020

  When Two Minskyan Processes Meet a Large Shock

  Michalis Nikiforos
  Abstract

  The spread of the new coronavirus (COVID-19) is a major shock for the US and global economies. Research Scholar Michalis Nikiforos explains that we cannot fully understand the economic implications…more

  Download Policy Note 2020/1 PDF (306.68 KB)
• Working Paper No. 947
  February 06, 2020

  Ages of Financial Instability

  Mario Tonveronachi
  Abstract

  Starting from the mid-nineteenth century, this paper analyzes two periods of financial instability connected with financial globalization. The first culminates with the 1929 crisis, while the second characterizes the more…more

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