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Working Paper No. 864April 18, 2016
Maximizing Price Stability in a Monetary Economy
AbstractIn this paper we analyze options for the European Central Bank (ECB) to achieve its single mandate of price stability. Viable options for price stability are described, analyzed, and tabulated…more
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Policy Notes No. 2April 04, 2016
The Narrow Path for Brazil
AbstractBrazil is mired in a joint economic and political crisis, and the way out is unclear. In 2015 the country experienced a steep contraction of output alongside elevated inflation, all…more
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Working Paper No. 863March 31, 2016
The Empirics of Long-Term US Interest Rates
AbstractUS government indebtedness and fiscal deficits increased notably following the global financial crisis. Yet long-term interest rates and US Treasury yields have remained remarkably low. Why have long-term interest rates…more
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Public Policy Brief No. 141March 25, 2016
What We Could Have Learned from the New Deal in Confronting the Recent Global Recession
AbstractTo the extent that policymakers have learned anything at all from the Great Depression and the policy responses of the 1930s, the lessons appear to have been the wrong ones….more
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Working Paper No. 862March 17, 2016
Japan’s Liquidity Trap
AbstractJapan has experienced stagnation, deflation, and low interest rates for decades. It is caught in a liquidity trap. This paper examines Japan’s liquidity trap in light of the structure and…more
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Strategic AnalysisMarch 07, 2016
Destabilizing an Unstable Economy
AbstractOur latest strategic analysis reveals that the US economy remains fragile because of three persistent structural issues: weak demand for US exports, fiscal conservatism, and a four-decade trend in rising…more
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Working Paper No. 861March 01, 2016
Money, Power, and Monetary Regimes
AbstractMoney, in this paper, is defined as a power relationship of a specific kind, a stratified social debt relationship, measured in a unit of account determined by some authority. A…more
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Working Paper No. 860February 22, 2016
Looking Into the Abyss?
AbstractThe Brazilian economy in 2015 was afflicted by a lethal combination of decelerating activity and accelerating inflation. Expectations for 2016 are equally or even more adverse, since the effects of…more
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Working Paper No. 859February 01, 2016
The 2030 Sustainable Development Goals and Measuring Gender Inequality
AbstractAgainst the backdrop of the 2030 UN Agenda for Sustainable Development, this paper analyzes the measurement issues in gender-based indices constructed by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and suggests…more
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Working Paper No. 858January 12, 2016
Gender Dimensions of Inequality in the Countries of Central Asia, South Caucasus, and Western CIS
AbstractThe collapse of the Soviet Union initiated an unprecedented social and economic transformation of the successor countries and altered the gender balance in a region that counted gender equality as…more
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Policy Notes No. 8December 17, 2015
The US Census Asks About Race and Ethnicity: 1980–2020
AbstractThis policy note examines the formulation and reformulation of questions deployed by the US Census Bureau to gather information on racial and ethnic origin in recent decades. The likely outcome…more
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Working Paper No. 857December 17, 2015
Ethno-Racial Origin in US Federal Statistics: 1980–2020
AbstractThis paper describes the transformations in federal classification of ethno-racial information since the civil rights era of the 1960s. These changes were introduced in the censuses of 1980 and 2000,…more
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One-Pager No. 51December 11, 2015
Completing the Single Financial Market and New Fiscal Rules for the Euro Area
AbstractUntil market participants across the euro area face a single risk-free yield curve rather than a diverse collection of quasi-risk-free sovereign rates, financial market integration will not be complete. Unfortunately,…more
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Working Paper No. 856December 10, 2015
Redistribution in the Age of Austerity
AbstractWe examine the relationship between changes in a country’s public sector fiscal position and inequality at the top and bottom of the income distribution during the age of austerity (2006–13)….more
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Working Paper No. 855November 30, 2015
The Two Approaches to Money
AbstractThe scientific reassessment of the economic role of the state after the crisis has renewed interest in Abba Lerner’s theory of functional finance (FF). A thorough discussion of this concept…more
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Public Policy Brief No. 140November 18, 2015
The ECB, the Single Financial Market, and a Revision of the Euro Area Fiscal Rules
AbstractMario Tonveronachi, University of Siena, builds on his earlier proposal (The ECB and the Single European Financial Market) to advance financial market integration in Europe through the creation of a…more
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Working Paper No. 854November 16, 2015
The Roads Not Taken
AbstractStandard presentations of stock-flow consistent modeling use specific Post Keynesian closures, even though a given stock-flow accounting structure supports various different economic dynamics. In this paper we separate the dynamic…more
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Working Paper No. 853November 09, 2015
Finance, Foreign Direct Investment, and Dutch Disease
AbstractIn recent years, Colombia has grown relatively rapidly, but it has been a biased growth. The energy sector (the “locomotora minero-energetica,” to use the rhetorical expression of President Juan Manuel…more
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Book SeriesNovember 05, 2015
Financial Regulation in the European Union
AbstractHave past and more recent regulatory changes contributed to increased financial stability in the European Union (EU), or have they improved the efficiency of individual banks and national financial systems…more
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Book SeriesNovember 05, 2015
Why Minsky Matters: An Introduction to the Work of a Maverick Economist
AbstractPerhaps no economist was more vindicated by the global financial crisis than Hyman P. Minsky (1919–1996). Although a handful of economists raised alarms as early as 2000, Minsky’s warnings began…more
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Policy Notes No. 7November 04, 2015
Losing Ground
AbstractUS labor force participation has continued to fall in the wake of the Great Recession. Improvements in the US unemployment rate reflect the fact that more people are falling out…more
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Working Paper No. 852October 30, 2015
The Malady of Low Global Interest Rates
AbstractLong-term interest rates in advanced economies have been low since the global financial crisis. However, in the United States the Federal Reserve could begin to hike its policy rate, the…more
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Working Paper No. 851October 28, 2015
Money Creation under Full-reserve Banking
AbstractThis paper presents a stock-flow consistent model+ of full-reserve banking. It is found that in a steady state, full-reserve banking can accommodate a zero-growth economy and provide both full employment…more
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Working Paper No. 850October 28, 2015
The Macroeconomics of a Financial Dutch Disease
AbstractWe describe the medium-run macroeconomic effects and long-run development consequences of a financial Dutch disease that may take place in a small developing country with abundant natural resources. The first…more
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