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Mindless Austerity and Security Guards
December 03, 2013 I recently had the great fortune to listen to a speech delivered by Mr Yves Mersch, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank. This was in Athens on November 8 at the first Minsky Conference in Greece organized by the Levy Economics Institute. The title of the conference was “The Eurozone crisis, [...] Blog -
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The Next Bubble?
December 02, 2013 Is the U.S. economy heading towards another bubble? Since last week, the number of commentators on this subject has been growing, from Robert Shiller to Nouriel Roubini (on housing markets). In our first chart we report the Standard & Poor’s 500 stock market index, normalized by a consumer price index to remove the common trend [...] Blog -
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Internal Devaluation in Greece
November 30, 2013 In a recent speech at the Levy Institute conference on “The Eurozone Crisis, Greece, and the Experience of Austerity” held in Athens, Mr. Yves Mersch, a member of the Executive Board and General Council at the ECB, made it clear that the success of the troika plan for the Greek economy requires the current account [...] Blog -
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Is an R&D-Led Export Strategy Our Best Shot?
November 26, 2013 Dimitri Papadimitriou, in Reuters’ “Great Debate” series: The U.S. needs an export strategy led by research and development, and it needs it now. A serious federal commitment to R&D would help arrest the long-term decline in manufacturing, and return America to its preeminent and competitive positions in high tech. At the same time, increasing sales [...] Blog -
Working Paper No. 780
Lost at Sea
November 21, 2013 The euro crisis remains unresolved even as financial markets may seem calm for now. The current euro regime is inherently flawed, and recent reforms have failed to turn this dysfunctional...more Publication -
Working Paper No. 779
Hierarchy of Ideals in Market Interactions
November 15, 2013 This paper argues that a hierarchy of ideals exists in market interactions that sets the benchmark on the norm of fairness associated with these interactions, thus affecting pricing decisions associated...more Publication -
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Register for the 2014 Minsky Summer Seminar
November 13, 2013 With support from the Ford Foundation, the Levy Institute is accepting applications for the 2014 Hyman P. Minsky Summer Seminar: Levy Institute Blithewood Annandale-on-Hudson, New York June 13–21, 2014 The Levy Institute’s Summer Seminar provides a rigorous discussion of both the theoretical and the applied aspects of Minsky’s economics, with an examination of meaningful prescriptive [...] Blog -
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No Sound Defense of German Mercantilism, Nowhere
November 12, 2013 In “America’s misplaced lecture to Germany,” Gideon Rachman ends up offering a singularly misplaced defense of Germany. Quite similar to the typical stories one hears on this matter in Germany itself, Rachman appears to be unaware of how self-contradictory his arguments really are. To begin with, after describing the Federal Reserve’s QE policies as both [...] Blog -
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Bibow: German Policy Bears Foremost Responsibility for the Euro Crises
November 05, 2013 In advance of this week’s Ford–Levy Institute conference in Athens, Greece (Nov. 8–9), Jörg Bibow gave an interview with George Papageorgiou, senior editor of newmoney.gr, on the role German policy has played (and still plays) in generating and exacerbating many of the problems plaguing the eurozone periphery — something Bibow was warning about back in [...] Blog -
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What Do Banks Do? What Should Banks Do? A Minskyan View
November 05, 2013 A new issue of Accounting, Economics and Law has published a series of articles (open access) on Minsky and banking. In addition to my contribution, you can find some nice pieces by Thorvald Moe, Yuri Bondi, and Robert Boyer. According to Minsky, “A capitalist economy can be described by a set of interrelated balance sheets [...] Blog -
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An Omnibus Reply to MMT Critics
November 01, 2013 Randall Wray and Éric Tymoigne just released a new working paper that rounds up and responds to various critiques of Modern Money Theory (MMT); critiques they organize into five categories: One of the main contributions of Modern Money Theory (MMT) has been to explain why monetarily sovereign governments have a very flexible policy space that [...] Blog -
Working Paper No. 778
Modern Money Theory 101
November 01, 2013 One of the main contributions of Modern Money Theory (MMT) has been to explain why monetarily sovereign governments have a very flexible policy space that is unencumbered by hard financial...more Publication -
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A Minsky Conference in Athens
October 30, 2013 The next Minsky conference in the Levy Institute’s international series is taking place in Athens next week, November 8-9. The central theme, as you can probably guess from the location, is the ongoing eurozone crisis. This conference is organized as part of the Levy Institute’s international research agenda and in conjunction with the Ford Foundation [...] Blog -
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Monetary and Fiscal Operations in China, an MMT Perspective
October 28, 2013 Here’s a piece I wrote with Yolanda Fernandez for the Asian Development Bank: Monetary and Fiscal Operations in the People’s Republic of China: An Alternative View of the Options Available You’ve no doubt read various analyses predicting the impending collapse of the Chinese financial sector, and arguments that China cannot continue to grow at a [...] Blog -
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The 0.2 Percent Solution: Some Advice for Debt Hawks
October 25, 2013 Larry Summers recently noted that the projected long-term budget deficit for the federal government basically disappears if we’re able to achieve annual economic growth rates that are 0.2 percentage points higher than the Congressional Budget Office assumes. The notion that eliminating the budget deficit is a valuable goal in and of itself deserves some pushback. [...] Blog -
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Can R&D Help Get Us Out of this Mess? A New Stock-Flow Analysis
October 23, 2013 Dimitri Papadimitriou, Greg Hannsgen, Michalis Nikiforos, and Gennaro Zezza have just published a new strategic analysis for the US economy, with a baseline projection and alternative policy simulations through the end of 2016. The report takes a closer look at the potential payoff of R&D investment in the context of a US export strategy. As [...] Blog -
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Minsky on Schumpeter, “Dilettantism,” and History
October 18, 2013 As is well known, Hyman Minsky was a student of Joseph Schumpeter’s at Harvard. Minsky’s “stages” theory of capitalist development, fleshed out during the later part of his life while he was here at the Levy Institute, arguably owes something to the influence of his former dissertation adviser. There’s a short paper in the archive [...] Blog -
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Bellofiore on the Socialization of Investment
October 17, 2013 From part four of Mariana Mazzucato’s “Rethinking the State” series, Riccardo Bellofiore discusses Hyman Minsky’s Schumpeterian spin on the “socialization of investment”: [iframe width=”448″ height=”242″ src=”//www.youtube.com/embed/rj8vyzWbZh8?feature=player_detailpage” frameborder=”0″ allowfullscreen] Blog -
Strategic Analysis
Rescuing the Recovery: Prospects and Policies for the United States
October 16, 2013 If the Congressional Budget Office’s recent projections of government revenues and outlays come to pass, the United States will not grow fast enough to bring down the unemployment rate between...more Publication -
Strategic Analysis
Η εδραίωση της ανάκαμψης: Προοπτικές και πολιτικές για τις Ηνωμένες Πολιτείες
October 16, 2013 Στην περίπτωση που επαληθευτούν οι προβλέψεις του Γραφείο Προϋπολογισμού του Κογκρέσου για τα κρατικά έσοδα και τις δαπάνες, η οικονομία των Ηνωμένων Πολιτειών δεν θα μπορέσει να αναπτυχθεί αρκετά γρήγορα...more Publication -
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Minsky Does Rio: Notes from a Conference
October 14, 2013 I recently returned from a conference in Brazil jointly sponsored by the Levy Economics Institute, the Ford Foundation, and the Brazilian research group MINDS. It is part of a bigger project to take Hyman P. Minsky global. In my view, Minsky was hands-down the greatest economist of the second half of the twentieth century and [...] Blog -
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Tcherneva on Our Self-Induced Paralysis
October 11, 2013 Pavlina Tcherneva was interviewed yesterday on Los Angeles public radio about the ongoing debt ceiling face-off and government shutdown. She referenced Ben Bernanke’s “self-induced paralysis” phrase (which he used to describe Japan’s lost decade) as an accurate description of the current US situation and expressed concern that shutdown and debt ceiling standoffs may represent the [...] Blog