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BlogIt’s Hard to Fix What You Don’t Think Is Broken
In last week’s Bloomberg column, Peter Orszag (former head of CBO and OMB) lamented that most “official forecasters” relied (and still rely) on economic models that led them to completely underestimate the severity of the downturn that resulted from the subprime mortgage crisis. These “bad models,” as Bloomberg‘s headline writers call them, whiffed badly on [...] -
Markets Could Stumble after France, Greece Votes
The Associated Press, May 6, 2012. Copyright 2012 Bloomberg L.P. All Rights Reserved. Financial markets will likely stumble this week after elections in Greece and France cast a pall of uncertainty over Europe’s efforts to solve its debt crisis. Greek voters on Sunday voted mostly for two parties that want to change the nation’s international […] -
One-Pager No. 30Building Effective Regulation Requires a Theory of Financial Instability
Hyman Minsky had particular views about how the regulatory system and financial architecture should be reformulated, and one of the many lessons we can learn from his work is that there is an intimate connection between how we think about the prospect of financial market instability and how we approach financial regulation. Regulation cannot be […] -
One-Pager No. 30
Η οικοδόμηση ενός αποτελεσματικού ρυθμιστικού συστήματος απαιτεί μια θεωρία χρηματοοικονομικής αστάθειας
Ο Χάιμαν Μίνσκυ είχε συγκεκριμένες απόψεις για το πώς θα έπρεπε να αναδιαμορφωθεί το ρυθμιστικό σύστημα και η χρηματοοικονομική αρχιτεκτονική, και ένα από τα πολλά μαθήματα που μπορούμε να αντλήσουμε από το έργο του είναι ότι υπάρχει μια στενή σχέση ανάμεσα στον τρόπο που σκεφτόμαστε για την προοπτική της αστάθειας των χρηματοπιστωτικών αγορών και το […] -
Working Paper No. 718Aggregate Production Functions and the Accounting Identity Critique
In a reply to Felipe and McCombie (2010a), Temple (2010) has largely ignored the main arguments that underlie the accounting identity critique of the estimation of production functions using value data. This criticism suggests that estimates of the parameters of aggregate production functions cannot be regarded as reflecting the underlying technology of the industry. While […] -
Blog
Galbraith: Addressing Inequality Means Addressing Instability
Levy Institute Senior Scholar James Galbraith was interviewed by the Washington Post‘s Brad Plumer about his new book Inequality and Instability: A Study of the World Economy Just Before the Great Crisis. Galbraith explains that the rises in inequality we’ve witnessed globally since the 1980s can be traced to changes in finance and the macroeconomy [...] -
Blog
What’s Happening Now at the Fed?
If there is a pundit on the topic of the Federal Reserve, surely William Greider is one. (Recall his famous book, Secrets of the Temple.) This recent piece from Greider in the progressive magazine the Nation offers some helpful historical perspective on the role of the nation’s central bank in recent years. -
Working Paper No. 717
Introduction to an Alternative History of Money
This paper integrates the various strands of an alternative, heterodox view on the origins of money and the development of the modern financial system in a manner that is consistent with the findings of historians and anthropologists. As is well known, the orthodox story of money’s origins and evolution begins with the creation of a […] -
Working Paper No. 717
Μια εισαγωγή στην εναλλακτική ιστορία του χρήματος
Η εργασία αυτή ενσωματώνει τις διάφορες συνιστώσες μιας εναλλακτικής, ετερόδοξης άποψης αναφορικά με την προέλευση του χρήματος και την ανάπτυξη του σύγχρονου χρηματοπιστωτικού συστήματος με τρόπο που να συνάδει με τα ευρήματα των ιστορικών και των ανθρωπολόγων. Όπως είναι γνωστό, η ορθόδοξη ερμηνεία της προέλευσης και της εξέλιξης του χρήματος ξεκινά με τη δημιουργία ενός […] -
Blog
Martin Wolf’s Liquidity Traps and Free Lunches Through Fiscal Expansion
In a good blog post for the Financial Times that did get money (mostly) right, Martin Wolf promised a Part II on the topic of appropriate monetary and fiscal policy in a “liquidity trap,” which he has provided here. Wolf also indicated he would write a piece on Modern Money Theory, an approach he does [...] -
Blog
How to Measure Financial Fragility
We may not have a high degree of success at predicting precisely when a financial crisis will occur or exactly how big it will be, but what we can and should do, says Éric Tymoigne, is develop effective ways of detecting and measuring the growth of financial fragility in a system. “[S]ignificant economic and financial [...] -
Working Paper No. 716
Measuring Macroprudential Risk through Financial Fragility
This paper presents a method to capture the growth of financial fragility within a country and across countries. This is done by focusing on housing finance in the United States, the United Kingdom, and France. Following the theoretical framework developed by Hyman P. Minsky, the paper focuses on the risk of amplification of shock via […]