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BlogIf this was a recovery…
It remains to be seen if the stock market collapse of the past three weeks or so will be followed by very bad GDP numbers and renewed job losses. How far did the recovery from the Great Recession get before the big relapse of stock-market volatility? A new Levy Institute one-pager features some graphs that [...] -
Working Paper No. 681Lessons We Should Have Learned from the Global Financial Crisis but Didn’t
This paper begins by recounting the causes and consequences of the global financial crisis (GFC). The triggering event, of course, was the unfolding of the subprime crisis; however, the paper argues that the financial system was already so fragile that just about anything could have caused the collapse. It then moves on to an assessment […] -
Working Paper No. 681
Μαθήματα που θα έπρεπε να παίρναμε από την παγκόσμια χρηματοοικονομική κρίση αλλά δεν το κάναμε
Η εργασία αυτή ξεκινάει μετρώντας ξανά τα αίτια και τις συνέπειες της παγκόσμιας χρηματοοικονομικής κρίσης (ΠΧΚ). Το γεγονός που πυροδότησε την κρίση ήταν, φυσικά, το ξεδίπλωμα της κρίσης στα στεγαστικά δάνεια υψηλού κινδύνου (subprimes). Εντούτοις, το άρθρο υποστηρίζει ότι το χρηματοοικονομικό σύστημα ήταν ήδη τόσο εύθραυστο που σχεδόν οτιδή̟ποτε θα μπορούσε να είχε προκαλέσει την […] -
One-Pager No. 12Not Your Father’s Recession
President Dimitri B. Papadimitriou and Research Scholar Greg Hannsgen make the case that the recession has turned into a prolonged and very unusual slump in growth, preventing a labor-market recovery—and the government lags far behind in creating the new jobs needed to deal with this disaster. -
One-Pager No. 12
Δεν πρόκειται για τη συνηθισμένη ύφεση
Ο πρόεδρος Δημήτρης Β. Παπαδημητρίου και ο Μελετητής Έρευνας Greg Hannsgen επιχειρηματολογούν ότι η οικονομική υποχώρηση έχει μετατρα̟πεί σε μια παρατεταμένη και πολύ ασυνήθιστη κάμψη της ανάπτυξης, αποτρέποντας μια ανάκαμψη της αγοράς εργασίας—και η κυβέρνηση βρίσκεται πολύ ̟πίσω στην προσπάθεια της δημιουργίας των νέων θέσεων εργασίας που απαιτούνται για να αντιπετωπιστεί αυτή η καταστροφή. -
Blog
Beyond Infrastructure
The topic of the moment, in the wreckage of the debt ceiling fight and the S&P downgrade, is to ask what the government can do to boost employment. The data from Gennaro Zezza’s most recent post suggest that one of the answers to this question is “stop firing so many people.” Beyond stemming the losses [...] -
Blog
To Cut the Debt, Create Jobs
While public discussion in the last several weeks has been absorbed by the debt ceiling saga, and in the coming weeks will probably focus on the S&P downgrade, employment (or lack thereof) is still a major problem. Our employment problem is one of the main factors contributing to a sizeable government deficit and growing public [...] -
Blog
In the Media
Levy Institute Senior Scholar L. Randall Wray was interviewed last week by Radio KPFK for their “Background Briefing.” Listen here to the wide-ranging discussion (beginning roughly a third of the way through the broadcast). Wray also has a piece in The Hill, expanding on his arguments about what lurks behind the hysterical focus on debt [...] -
Blog
The meaning of the federal government’s AA+
Throughout the weekend, television news coverage dwelled on Friday’s downgrade of U.S. debt securities by Standard and Poor’s, one of the three main ratings agencies that assess the creditworthiness of the federal government. The meaning of S & P’s action remains somewhat uncertain, and we doubt that, as important as the story was, the downgrade [...] -
Blog
“We get on very well in private life, but what rubbish his theory is” *
The BBC have broadcast a recent debate, dubbed “Keynes vs Hayek,” featuring Keynes’ biographer Lord Skidelsky. For anyone interested in an entry-level discussion of these competing policy approaches, and plenty of binge-drinking/hangover metaphors, it’s worth a listen. * (Keynes, in reference to Hayek.) -
One-Pager No. 11
Investing in Social Care Delivery
There is little mystery to explaining our current high levels of unemployment. The Bureau of Economic Analysis recently revised its figures on GDP growth, and revealed that not only was the recession worse than we realized, but recent growth rates have been overstated as well. The hole, in other words, was deeper than we thought, […] -
Blog
Self-Flagellation, Revisited
Following up on a previous item, Macroeconomic Advisers have updated their analysis in response to the most recent debt ceiling deal. The results: no good news, and some serious uncertainty in the probable effects on growth (though not the sort of “uncertainty” the conventional wisdom is persistently telling us we should care about). In 2012, [...]