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Policy Notes No. 5
Some Unpleasant American Arithmetic
Is it sufficiently realized how intractable those account imbalances—and how dangerous their potential consequences at home and abroad—have now become? -
Working Paper No. 424
Macroeconomics of Speculation
Despite his emphasis on the speculative character of investment decisions, Minsky paid little attention to asset price speculation per se, ignoring asset price bubbles and their macroeconomic effects. That is perhaps because his views were formed during the era of financial regulation, when speculation “could do no harm as bubbles on a steady stream of […] -
Public Policy Brief Highlight No. 81
Breaking Out of the Deficit Trap
For some time, Levy Institute scholars have been engaged with issues related to the current account, government, and private sector balances. We have argued that the existing imbalances in these accounts are unsustainable and will ultimately present a serious challenge to the performance of the American economy. Other scholars are also concerned, but for reasons […] -
Summary No. 2
Summary Spring 2005
This issue begins with a sensitivity analysis of public consumption—a major component of the Levy Institute Measure of Economic Well-Being—in relation to economic well-being in the United States. One of the notable observations contained in our report is that the distribution of public consumption is pro-rich. -
Working Paper No. 423
Is More Mobility Good? Firm Mobility and the Low Wage–Low Productivity Trap
This paper explores the possibility that unregulated FDI flows are causally implicated in the decline in labor productivity growth in semi-industrialized economies. These effects are hypothesized to operate through the negative impact of firm mobility on worker bargaining power and thus affecting wages. Downward pressure on wages can reduce the pressure on firms to raise […] -
Research Project Report
Interim Report
This interim report compares the LIMEW and official measures of economic well-being for 1989–2002, a period marked by the economic boom of the late 1990s and a mild recession in 2001–02. All measures show that the well-being of the average American household was significantly higher in 2000 than in 1989, with most of the improvement […] -
Policy Notes No. 4
Imbalances Looking for a Policy
The latest batch of numbers from the United States makes for a disturbing read. The GDP growth rate of GDP has been adequate. However, the current account deficit was 6.3 percent of GDP in the fourth quarter of 2004, and the terrible trade figures for January and February promise an even bigger deficit in the […] -
Working Paper No. 422
The Disutility of International Debt
In dealing with the problematic relationship of morality to rational choice theory, neoclassical economists since Lionel Robbins have often argued that they can incorporate moral values into consumer theory by putting those values into the utility function. This paper tests the viability of such an approach in the context of international finance. The moral value […] -
Policy Notes No. 3
Is the Dollar at Risk?
A massive fiscal stimulus and, until recently, aggressive monetary easing have been successful in raising bond and real estate prices to unprecedented levels, inducing a credit boom that has prevented private consumption from falling. While it might still be too early to say that it worked, the strategy has indeed, for the time being, prevented […] -
Conference Proceedings
15th Annual Hyman P. Minsky Conference on the State of the US and World Economies
Participants at the 15th Annual Hyman P. Minsky Conference offered their viewpoints on the American economy’s recovery following a short-lived recession, policy guidelines to be considered within the context of current economic trends, and the implications for both the national economy and international economies. What are the monetary and fiscal policy prescriptions for growth, employment, […] -
Audio
15th Annual Hyman P. Minsky Conference
This year’s Hyman P. Minsky Conference drew upon public discussions on the state of the United States and world economies in the context of current economic trends and their implications. Topics included fiscal and monetary policies for continued growth and employment; brutal gyrations in the currency markets and the consequent exchange-rate misalignments, as well as […] -
Press Release
Gap Between Rich and Poor Grows in All Regions of United States Between 1989 and 2001, Says New Levy Institute Study