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Working Paper No. 83

Community Development Banks

The Clinton/Gore proposal for the creation of a network of 100 community development banks (CDBs) to revitalize communities is bold, and will contribute to the success of the U.S. economy. Banks are essential institutions in any community, and the establishment of a bank is often a prerequisite for the investment process. For this reason, the […]

Working Paper No. 82

Job Quality and Labor Market Segmentation in the 1980s

The authors examine the effects of employment restructuring in the 1980s on white, black, and Hispanic men and women within a labor market segmentation framework. Cluster analysis is used to determine whether jobs can be grouped into a small number of relatively homogeneous clusters on the basis of differences in job quality. With data centered […]

Book Series

Financial Conditions and Macroeconomic Performance

This collection of papers on financial instability and its impact on macroeconomic performance honors Hyman P. Minsky and his lifelong work. The papers consider the clear and disturbing sequence of events described in Minsky’s definitive analysis: boom, government intervention to prevent debt contraction, new boom that causes progressive buildup of new debt and eventually leaves […]

Working Paper No. 81

The Impact of Profitability, Financial Fragility, and Competitive Regime Shifts on Investment Demand

Crotty and Goldstein have developed a hybrid post-Keynesian/ neo-Schumpeterian theory of investment demand. In this micro-founded theory of accumulation, the optimal investment decision depends on the level of expected profitability, the degree of competition, and the degree of financial fragility. Its core assumptions are: i)the future is unknowable in principle, ii) physical capital is ii) […]

Public Policy Brief No. 2

An Economic Assessment: Contained Depression or the Foothills of Recovery?

Robert Barbera and David A. Levy offer contrasting assessments of the United States’ economy during the late 1980s and early 1990s. Barbera suggests that the behavior of the economy was typical for the early part of a recessionary stage in a standard business cycle: policymakers and business leaders, believing the downturn to be temporary, prolong […]

Working Paper No. 80

Growth and Structural Change in China-US Trade

Since the resumption of China-U.S. trade in 1972, and in particular since the establishment of diplomatic relations in early 1979, trade between the two countries has increased dramatically. By 1990, the United States was China’s third-largest trading partner, accounting for 10.2% of China’s total trade, 12.4% of Chinese imports, and 10.1% of total foreign investment. […]

Working Paper No. 79

The Investment Decision of the Post Keynesian Firm

In this paper, Crotty and Goldstein undertake the formulation of a model of enterprise investment decision that can provide a microeconomic foundation for the Keynes-Minsky macromodels developed by Delli Gatti & Gallegati, Jarsulic, Semmler and others. The authors address the difficulties inherent in the formulation of an investmes theory in which the future is unknowable, […]

Working Paper No. 78

The Predication Semantics Model

This paper presents and tests the predication semantics model, a computational model of text comprehension. It goes beyond previous case grammar approaches to text comprehension in employing a propositional rather than a rigid hierarchical tree notion, attempting to maintain a coherent set of propositions in working memory. The authors’ assertion is that predicate class contains […]

Working Paper No. 77

Credit Markets and Narrow Banking

Maurice Allais’s view that the credit created by fractional reserve banking is equivalent to counterfeiting has led him to recommend the separation of the depository and lending functions of banks. This proposal has recently been reintroduced by James Tobin and others under the term "narrow banking." Proponents cite the potential for enhanced safety of the […]

Public Policy Brief No. 1

Restructuring the Financial Structure

To avoid excessive concentration of economic and financial power, Athony M. Solomon recommends institutional and regulatory reform of the financial system by such means as nationwide banking, restrictions on federal deposit insurance, consolidation of financial regulation, balancing numerical standards with supervisory discretion, increased accountability of banks’ management boards, and leveling the playing field across institutions, […]

Working Paper No. 76

The “Chicago Plan” and New Deal Banking Reform

During the 1930s, there were numerous proposals put forth to modify the financial system. The “Chicago Plan,” submitted in 1933 by economists at the University of Chicago, recommended abolition of the fractional reserve system and imposition of 100% reserves on demand deposits. Despite the radical nature of this proposal, Phillips argues that it played an […]

Working Paper No. 75

The Role of Unemployment in Triggering Internal Labor Migration

George McCarthy’s paper explores the internal migration of labor in response to structural changes in the U.S. economy. He presents an empirical study of the relationship between wage determination and the migration decision co evaluate the role of both spiral wage differences and unemployment in motivating migration. Also, the paper assesses the relative homogeneity of […]