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72 publications found, searching for 'Stock-Flow Macro '
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Working Paper No. 722
May 11, 2012
Guaranteed Green Jobs
AbstractIn most economies, the potential of saving energy via insulation and more efficient uses of electricity is important. In order to reach the Kyoto Protocol objectives, it is urgent to develop policies that reduce the production of carbon dioxide in all sectors of the economy. This paper proposes an analysis of a green-jobs employer-of-last-resort (ELR) […]
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Strategic Analysis
April 15, 2012
Back to Business as Usual? Or a Fiscal Boost?
AbstractThough the economy appears to be gradually gaining momentum, broad measures indicate that 14.5 percent of the US labor force is unemployed or underemployed, not much below the 16.2 percent rate reached a full year ago. In this new report in our Strategic Analysis series, we first discuss several slow-moving factors that make it difficult […]
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Strategic Analysis
April 15, 2012
Πίσω στις συνήθεις τακτικές ή δημοσιονομική τόνωση;
AbstractΑν και η οικονομία φαίνεται να βελτιώνεται σταδιακά, οι ευρείς δείκτες καταγράφουν ότι το 14.5% του αμερικανικού εργατικού δυναμικού είναι άνεργο ή υποαπασχολήσιμο, ποσοστό όχι πολύ χαμηλότερο από το 16.2% που ήταν πέρυσι. Στην καινούργια έκθεση της σειράς Στρατηγική Ανάλυση, αναφερόμαστε αρχικά στους βραδυκίνητους παράγοντες που δυσκολεύουν την επίτευξη μιας ολοκληρωμένης και βιώσιμης οικονομικής ανάκαμψης: […]
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Working Paper No. 704
January 27, 2012
Imbalances? What Imbalances?
AbstractIt is commonplace to link neoclassical economics to 18th- or 19th-century physics and its notion of equilibrium, of a pendulum once disturbed eventually coming to rest. Likewise, an economy subjected to an exogenous shock seeks equilibrium through the stabilizing market forces unleashed by the invisible hand. The metaphor can be applied to virtually every sphere […]
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Working Paper No. 704
January 27, 2012
Ανισορροπίες; Ποιές ανισορροπίες;
AbstractΕίναι κοινός τόπος να συνδέει κανείς τα νεοκλασικά οικονομικά με τη φυσική του 18ου ή του 19ου και την έννοια της ισορροπίας, με την ιδέα της συμπεριφοράς του εκκρεμούς, που αν το μετακινήσουμε από το σημείο ηρεμίας, αυτό τελικά θα επιστρέψει πάλι σε αυτό. Ομοίως, ο στόχος μιας οικονομίας που υποβάλλεται σε εξωγενή σοκ είναι […]
Download Επιστημονική εργασία υπό εξέλιξη (Working Paper) No. 704 PDF (492.99 KB) -
Strategic Analysis
December 06, 2011
Is the Recovery Sustainable?
AbstractFiscal austerity is now a worldwide phenomenon, and the global growth slowdown is highly unfavorable for policymakers at the national level. According to our Macro Modeling Team’s baseline forecast, fears of prolonged stagnation and a moribund employment market are well justified. Assuming no change in the value of the dollar or interest rates, and deficit […]
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Strategic Analysis
December 06, 2011
Είναι βιώσιμη η ανάκαμψη;
AbstractΗ δημοσιονομική λιτότητα είναι πλέον ένα παγκόσμιο φαινόμενο και η επιβράδυνση της παγκόσμιας ανάπτυξης δεν ευνοεί τις προοπτικές της δημοσιονομικής πολιτικής σε εθνικό επίπεδο. Σύμφωνα με τις baseline προβλέψεις της Ομάδας Μακροοικονομικής Ανάλυσης στο Ινστιτούτο Οικονομικών Λίβι, οι φόβοι για μια οικονομική στασιμότητα μεγάλης διάρκειας και μια παγωμένη αγορά εργασίας είναι απόλυτα δικαιολογημένοι. Υποθέτοντας ότι […]
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Working Paper No. 665
April 04, 2011
Causes of Financial Instability
AbstractGiven the economy’s complex behavior and sudden transitions as evidenced in the 2007–08 crisis, agent-based models are widely considered a promising alternative to current macroeconomic practice dominated by DSGE models. Their failure is commonly interpreted as a failure to incorporate heterogeneous interacting agents. This paper explains that complex behavior and sudden transitions also arise from […]
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Strategic Analysis
March 10, 2011
Jobless Recovery Is No Recovery: Prospects for the US Economy
AbstractThe US economy grew reasonably fast during the last quarter of 2010, and the general expectation is that satisfactory growth will continue in 2011–12. The expansion may, indeed, continue into 2013. But with large deficits in both the government and foreign sectors, satisfactory growth in the medium term cannot be achieved without a major, sustained […]
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Policy Notes No. 1
February 11, 2011
What Happens if Germany Exits the Euro?
AbstractLike marriage, membership in the eurozone is supposed to be a lifetime commitment, “for better or for worse.” But as we know, divorce does occur, even if the marriage was entered into with the best of intentions. And the recent turmoil in Europe has given rise to the idea that the euro itself might also be reversible, and that […]
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Working Paper No. 647
December 24, 2010
Money
AbstractThis paper advances three fundamental propositions regarding money: (1) As R. W. Clower (1965) famously put it, money buys goods and goods buy money, but goods do not buy goods. (2) Money is always debt; it cannot be a commodity from the first proposition because, if it were, that would mean that a particular good […]
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Policy Notes No. 4
November 11, 2010
A New “Teachable” Moment?
AbstractA common refrain heard from those trying to justify the results of the recent midterm elections is that the government’s fiscal stimulus to save the US economy from depression undermined growth, and that fiscal restraint is the key to economic expansion. Research Associate Marshall Auerback maintains that this refrain stems from a failure to understand […]
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Working Paper No. 594
May 08, 2010
Revisiting “New Cambridge”: The Three Financial Balances in a General Stock-flow Consistent Applied Modeling Strategy
AbstractThis paper argues that modified versions of the so-called “New Cambridge” approach to macroeconomic modeling are both quite useful for modeling real capitalist economies in historical time and perfectly compatible with the “vision” underlying modern Post-Keynesian stock-flow consistent macroeconomic models. As such, New Cambridge–type models appear to us as an important contribution to the tool […]
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Strategic Analysis
March 10, 2010
Getting Out of the Recession?
AbstractResearch Scholar Gennaro Zezza updates the Levy Institute’s previous Strategic Analysis (December 2009) and finds that the 2009 increase in public sector aggregate demand was a result of the fiscal stimulus, without which the recession would have been much deeper. He confirms that strong policy action is required to achieve full employment in the medium […]
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Strategic Analysis
December 03, 2009
Sustaining Recovery: Medium-term Prospects and Policies for the US Economy
AbstractThough recent market activity and housing reports give some warrant for optimism, United States economic growth was only 2.8 percent in the third quarter, and the unemployment rate is still very high. In their new Strategic Analysis, the Levy Institute’s Macro-Modeling Team project that high unemployment will continue to be a problem if fiscal stimulus […]
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Working Paper No. 576
September 09, 2009
A Financial Sector Balance Approach and the Cyclical Dynamics of the US Economy
AbstractThis paper investigates the relationship between asset markets and business cycles with regard to the US economy. We consider the Goldman Sachs approach (2003) developed to study the dynamics of financial balances. By means of a small econometric model we find that asset market dynamics are fundamental to determining the long-run financial sector balance dynamics. […]
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Working Paper No. 569
June 15, 2009
Fiscal Policy and the Economics of Financial Balances
AbstractThis paper presents the main features of the macroeconomic model being used at The Levy Economics Institute of Bard College, which has proven to be a useful tool in tracking the current financial and economic crisis. We investigate the connections of the model to the “New Cambridge” approach, and discuss other recent approaches to the […]
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Working Paper No. 567
June 01, 2009
Revisiting (and Connecting) Marglin-Bhaduri and Minsky
AbstractMany heterodox strands of thought share both a concern with the study of different phases or growth regimes in the history of capitalism and the use of formal short-run models as an analytical tool. The authors of this new working paper suggest (1) that this strategy is potentially misleading, and (2) that the stock-flow consistent […]
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Strategic Analysis
April 09, 2009
Recent Rise in Federal Government and Federal Reserve Liabilities: Antidote to a Speculative Hangover
AbstractFederal government and Federal Reserve (Fed) liabilities rose sharply in 2008. Who holds these new liabilities, and what effects will they have on the economy? Some economists and politicians warn of impending inflation. In this new Strategic Analysis, the Levy Institute’s Macro-Modeling Team focuses on one positive effect—a badly needed improvement of private sector balance […]
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Strategic Analysis
January 06, 2009
Flow of Funds Figures Show the Largest Drop in Household Borrowing in the Last 40 Years
AbstractThe Federal Reserve’s latest flow-of-funds data reveal that household borrowing has fallen sharply lower, bringing about a reversal of the upward trend in household debt. According to the Levy Institute’s macro model, a fall in borrowing has an immediate effect—accounting in this case for most of the 3 percent drop in private expenditure that occurred […]
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Strategic Analysis
December 24, 2008
Prospects for the United States and the World: A Crisis That Conventional Remedies Cannot Resolve
AbstractThe economic recovery plans currently under consideration by the United States and many other countries seem to be concentrated on the possibility of using expansionary fiscal and monetary policies alone. In a new Strategic Analysis, the Levy Institute’s Macro-Modeling Team argues that, however well coordinated, this approach will not be sufficient; what’s required, they say, […]
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Strategic Analysis
April 09, 2008
Fiscal Stimulus—Is More Needed?
AbstractAs the government prepares to dispense the tax rebates that largely make up its recently approved $168 billion stimulus package, President Dimitri B. Papadimitriou and Research Scholars Greg Hannsgen and Gennaro Zezza explore the possibility of an additional fiscal stimulus of about $450 billion spread over three quarters—challenging the notion that a larger and more […]
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Strategic Analysis
April 30, 2007
The US Economy: What’s Next?
AbstractThe collapse in the subprime mortgage market, along with multiple signals of distress in the broader housing market, has already drawn forth a large body of comment. Some people think the upheaval will turn out to be contagious, causing a major slowdown or even a recession later in 2007. Others believe that the turmoil will […]
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Strategic Analysis
November 14, 2006
Can Global Imbalances Continue?
AbstractIn this new Strategic Analysis, we review what we believe is the most important economic policy issue facing policymakers in the United States and abroad: the prospect of a growth recession in the United States. The possibility of recession is linked to the imbalances in the current account, government, and private sector deficits. The current […]
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