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Working Paper No. 681
August 12, 2011
Lessons We Should Have Learned from the Global Financial Crisis but Didn’t
AbstractThis paper begins by recounting the causes and consequences of the global financial crisis (GFC). The triggering event, of course, was the unfolding of the subprime crisis; however, the paper argues that the financial system was already so fragile that just about anything could have caused the collapse. It then moves on to an assessment […]
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One-Pager No. 12
August 11, 2011
Not Your Father’s Recession
AbstractPresident Dimitri B. Papadimitriou and Research Scholar Greg Hannsgen make the case that the recession has turned into a prolonged and very unusual slump in growth, preventing a labor-market recovery—and the government lags far behind in creating the new jobs needed to deal with this disaster.
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One-Pager No. 12
August 11, 2011
Δεν πρόκειται για τη συνηθισμένη ύφεση
AbstractΟ πρόεδρος Δημήτρης Β. Παπαδημητρίου και ο Μελετητής Έρευνας Greg Hannsgen επιχειρηματολογούν ότι η οικονομική υποχώρηση έχει μετατρα̟πεί σε μια παρατεταμένη και πολύ ασυνήθιστη κάμψη της ανάπτυξης, αποτρέποντας μια ανάκαμψη της αγοράς εργασίας—και η κυβέρνηση βρίσκεται πολύ ̟πίσω στην προσπάθεια της δημιουργίας των νέων θέσεων εργασίας που απαιτούνται για να αντιπετωπιστεί αυτή η καταστροφή.
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One-Pager No. 11
August 05, 2011
Investing in Social Care Delivery
AbstractThere is little mystery to explaining our current high levels of unemployment. The Bureau of Economic Analysis recently revised its figures on GDP growth, and revealed that not only was the recession worse than we realized, but recent growth rates have been overstated as well. The hole, in other words, was deeper than we thought, […]
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Working Paper No. 680
July 26, 2011
The Levy Institute Measure of Economic Well-Being: Estimates for Canada, 1999 and 2005
AbstractThis report presents estimates of the Levy Institute Measure of Economic Well-Being (LIMEW) for a representative sample of Canadian households in 1999 and 2005. The results indicate that there was only modest growth in the average Canadian household’s total command over economic resources in the six years between 1999 and 2005. Although inequality in economic […]
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Working Paper No. 679
July 25, 2011
The Levy Institute Measure of Economic Well-Being, France, 1989 and 2000
AbstractWe construct estimates of the Levy Institute Measure of Economic Well-Being for France for the years 1989 and 2000. We also estimate the standard measure of disposable cash income (DI) from the same data sources. We analyze overall trends in the level and distribution of household well-being using both measures for France as a whole […]
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Working Paper No. 678
July 25, 2011
What Ended the Great Depression?
AbstractConventional wisdom contends that fiscal policy was of secondary importance to the economic recovery in the 1930s. The recovery is then connected to monetary policy that allowed non-sterilized gold inflows to increase the money supply. Often, this is shown by measuring the fiscal multipliers, and demonstrating that they were relatively small. This paper shows that […]
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Working Paper No. 677
July 18, 2011
The Global Crisis and the Remedial Actions
AbstractThe global financial crisis has now spread across multiple countries and sectors, affecting both financial and real spheres in the advanced as well as the developing economies. This has been caused by policies based on “rational expectation” models that advocate deregulated finance, with facilities for easy credit and derivatives, along with globalized exposures for financial […]
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Working Paper No. 676
July 18, 2011
Quality of Match for Statistical Matches Used in the 1989 and 2000 LIMEW Estimates for France
AbstractThe quality of match for each of four statistical matches used in the LIMEW estimates for France for 1989 and 2000 is described. The first match combines the 1992 Enquête sur les Actifs Financiers with the 1989–90 Enquête Budget de Famille (BDF). The second match combines the 1998 General Social Survey (EDT) with the 1989–90 […]
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Working Paper No. 675
July 18, 2011
The Rise and Fall of Export-led Growth
AbstractThis paper traces the rise of export-led growth as a development paradigm and argues that it is exhausted owing to changed conditions in emerging market (EM) and developed economies. The global economy needs a recalibration that facilitates a new paradigm of domestic demand-led growth. Globalization has so diversified global economic activity that no country or […]
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Working Paper No. 674
July 05, 2011
Institutional Prerequisites of Financial Fragility within Minsky’s Financial Instability Hypothesis
AbstractThe relevancy of Minsky’s Financial Instability Hypothesis (FIH) in the current (and still unfolding) crisis has been clearly acknowledged by both economists and regulators. While most papers focus on discussing to what extent the FIH or Minsky’s Big Bank/Big Government interpretation is appropriate to explain and sort out the crisis, some authors have also emphasized […]
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One-Pager No. 10
June 21, 2011
Will the Recovery Continue?
AbstractWith quantitative easing winding down and the latest payroll tax-cut measures set to expire at the end of this year, pressing questions loom about the current state of the US economic recovery and its ability to sustain itself in the absence of support from monetary and fiscal policy.
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Working Paper No. 673
June 13, 2011
Effective Demand in the Recent Evolution of the US Economy
AbstractWe present strong empirical evidence favoring the role of effective demand in the US economy, in the spirit of Keynes and Kalecki. Our inference comes from a statistically well-specified VAR model constructed on a quarterly basis from 1980 to 2008. US output is our variable of interest, and it depends (in our specification) on (1) […]
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Working Paper No. 672
May 27, 2011
Income Distribution in a Monetary Economy
AbstractThe paper provides a novel theory of income distribution and achieves an integration of monetary and value theories along Ricardian lines, extended to a monetary production economy as understood by Keynes. In a monetary economy, capital is a fund that must be maintained. This idea is captured in the circuit of capital as first defined […]
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Working Paper No. 671
May 19, 2011
Public Job-creation Programs: The Economic Benefits of Investing in Social Care
AbstractThis paper demonstrates the strong impacts that public job creation in social care provisioning has on employment creation. Furthermore, it shows that mobilizing underutilized domestic labor resources and targeting them to bridge gaps in community-based services yield strong pro-poor income growth patterns that extend throughout the economy. Social care provision also contributes to promoting gender […]
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Working Paper No. 670
May 18, 2011
The Product Space
AbstractIn this paper we look at the economic development of Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in the context of structural transformation. We use Hidalgo et al.’s (2007) concept of product space to show the evolution of the region’s productive structure, and discuss the opportunities for growth and diversification. The majority of SSA countries are trapped in the export of unsophisticated, […]
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One-Pager No. 9
May 17, 2011
Did Problems with SSDI Cause the Output-Jobs Disconnect?
AbstractThe slow recovery of the job market after the recessions of 2001 and 2007–09 has fostered concerns that the link between output growth and job creation has been severed. Between 2000 and 2010, the employment rate for males plunged from 71.9 to 63.7 percent—a decline that can be accounted for almost entirely by a fall […]
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Working Paper No. 669
May 17, 2011
Race, Power, and the Subprime/Foreclosure Crisis
AbstractEconomists’ principal explanations of the subprime crisis differ from those developed by noneconomists in that the latter see it as rooted in the US legacy of racial/ethnic inequality, and especially in racial residential segregation, whereas the former ignore race. This paper traces this disjuncture to two sources. What is missing in the social science view […]
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Policy Notes No. 4
May 12, 2011
Was Keynes’s Monetary Policy, Ã Outrance in the Treatise, a Forerunnner of ZIRP and QE? Did He Change His Mind in the General Theory?
AbstractAt the end of 1930, as the 1929 US stock market crash was starting to have an impact on the real economy in the form of falling commodity prices, falling output, and rising unemployment, John Maynard Keynes, in the concluding chapters of his Treatise on Money, launched a challenge to monetary authorities to take “deliberate […]
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Policy Notes No. 4
May 12, 2011
Μια ανάλυση της εξέλιξης των απόψεων του Κέινς για τη νομισματική πολιτική—από τη «Πραγματεία για το Χρήμα» στη «Γενική Θεωρία»
AbstractΠρος το τέλος του 1930, καθώς το κραχ του Χρηματιστηρίου της Νέας Υόρκης το 1929 είχε αρχίσει να έχει αντίκτυπο στην πραγματική οικονομία των ΗΠΑ πτώση στις τιμές των εμπορευμάτων, μείωση της παραγωγής και αύξηση της ανεργίας ο Τζον Μέιναρντ Κέινς, στα τελευταία κεφάλαια του βιβλίου του «Η Πραγματεία για το Χρήμα» προκαλούσε τις νομισματικές […]
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Policy Notes No. 3
May 12, 2011
A Modest Proposal for Overcoming the Euro Crisis
AbstractThis “Modest Proposal” by authors Varoufakis and Holland outlines a three-pronged, comprehensive solution to the eurozone crisis that simultaneously addresses the three main dimensions of the current crisis in the eurozone (sovereign debt, banking, and underinvestment), restructures both a share of sovereign debt and that of banks, and does not involve a fiscal transfer of […]
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Policy Notes No. 2
May 04, 2011
Is the Federal Debt Unsustainable?
AbstractBy general agreement, the federal budget is on an “unsustainable path.” Try typing the phrase into Google News: 19 of the first 20 hits refer to the federal debt. But what does this actually mean? One suspects that some who use the phrase are guided by vague fears, or even that they don’t quite know […]
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Working Paper No. 668
May 02, 2011
The Freedom Budget at 45
AbstractForty-five years ago, the A. Philip Randolph Institute issued “The Freedom Budget,” in which a program for economic transformation was proposed that included a job guarantee for everyone ready and willing to work, a guaranteed income for those unable to work or those who should not be working, and a living wage to lift the […]
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Working Paper No. 667
April 20, 2011
The Levy Institute Measure of Economic Well-Being, Great Britain, 1995 and 2005
AbstractWe construct estimates of the Levy Institute Measure of Economic Well-Being for Great Britain for the years 1995 and 2005. We also produce estimates of the official British measures HBAI (from the Department for Work and Pensions annual report titled “Households below Average Income”) and ROI (from the Office of National Statistics Redistribution of Income […]
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