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Public Policy Brief No. 136
August 28, 2014
Can Child-care Subsidies Reduce Poverty?
AbstractIn partnership with the Korea Employment Information Service, Senior Scholar Ajit Zacharias and Research Scholars Thomas Masterson and Kijong Kim investigate the complex issues of gender, changing labor market conditions, and the public provisioning of child care in Korea using the Levy Institute Measure of Time and Income Poverty (LIMTIP), an alternative measure that factors […]
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Public Policy Brief No. 135
August 12, 2014
Το σχέδιο για ένα ευρω-υπουργείο Οικονομικών
AbstractΣε αντίθεση με τoν πρόσφατο ισχυρισμό της γερμανίδας καγκελαρίου Άνγκελα Μέρκελ, η ευρω-κρίση δεν έχει σχεδόν τελειώσει, αλλά παραμένει άλυτη, αφήνοντας την ευρωζώνη εξαιρετικά ευάλωτη σε ανανεωμένες πιέσεις. Στην πραγματικότητα, καθώς οι συμφωνηθέντες μεταρρυθμίσεις έχουν αποτύχει μέχρι στιγμής να μετατρέψουν τον ελαττωματικό και δυσλειτουργικό σχεδιασμό του ευρώ σε ένα βιώσιμο καθεστώς, η σημερινή ηρεμία στις […]
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Public Policy Brief No. 135
August 12, 2014
The Euro Treasury Plan
AbstractContrary to German chancellor Angela Merkel’s recent claim, the euro crisis is not nearly over but remains unresolved, leaving the eurozone extraordinarily vulnerable to renewed stresses. In fact, as the reforms agreed to so far have failed to turn the flawed and dysfunctional euro regime into a viable one, the current calm in financial markets […]
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Working Paper No. 813
August 06, 2014
Economic Policy in India
AbstractThe implementation of economic reforms under new economic policies in India was associated with a paradigmatic shift in monetary and fiscal policy. While monetary policies were solely aimed at “price stability” in the neoliberal regime, fiscal policies were characterized by the objective of maintaining “sound finance” and “austerity.” Such monetarist principles and measures have also […]
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Working Paper No. 812
August 01, 2014
Time Use of Parents in the United States
AbstractFeminist and institutionalist literature has challenged the “Mancession” narrative of the 2007–09 recession and produced nuanced and gender-aware analyses of the labor market and well-being outcomes of the recession. Using American Time Use Survey (ATUS) data for 2003–12, this paper examines the recession’s impact on gendered patterns of time use over the course of the […]
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Working Paper No. 811
July 14, 2014
If Deficits Are Not the Culprit, What Determines Indian Interest Rates?
AbstractThis paper challenges two clichés that have dominated the macroeconometric debates in India. One relates to the neoclassical view that deficits are detrimental to growth, as they increase the rate of interest, and in turn displace the interest-rate-sensitive components of private investment. The second relates to the assumption of “stationarity”—which has dominated the statistical inference […]
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Working Paper No. 810
June 27, 2014
When Good Intentions Pave the Road to Hell
AbstractWith the creation of the Economic and Monetary Union and the euro, the national government debt of eurozone member-states became credit sensitive. While the potentially destabilizing impact of adverse cyclical conditions on credit-sensitive debt was seriously underestimated, the design was intentional, framed within a Friedman-Fischer-Buchanan view that “no monetization” rules provide a powerful means to […]
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Working Paper No. 810
June 27, 2014
Ο δρόμος προς την κόλαση είναι στρωμένος με καλές προθέσεις
AbstractΜε τη δημιουργία της Οικονομικής και Νομισματικής Ένωσης και του ευρώ, το εθνικό δημόσιο χρέος των κρατών-μελών της ευρωζώνης έγινε πιστωτικά ευαίσθητο (credit sensitive). Ενώ οι δυνητικά αποσταθεροποιητικές επιπτώσεις των δυσμενών κυκλικών συνθηκών στο πιστωτικά ευαίσθητο χρέος είχε σοβαρά υποτιμηθεί, ο σχεδιασμός ήταν εκ προθέσεως, διαμορφωμένος στο πλαίσιο της άποψης που πρέσβευαν οι Friedman-Fischer-Buchanan ότι […]
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Working Paper No. 809
June 23, 2014
Causal Linkages between Work and Life Satisfaction and Their Determinants in a Structural VAR Approach
AbstractWork and life satisfaction depends on a number of pecuniary and nonpecuniary factors at the workplace and determines these in turn. We analyze these causal linkages using a structural vector autoregression approach for a sample of the German working populace collected from 1984 to 2008, finding that workplace autonomy plays an important causal role in […]
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Working Paper No. 808
June 23, 2014
Heterogeneity in the Relationship between Unemployment and Subjective Well-Being
AbstractUnemployment has been robustly shown to strongly decrease subjective well-being (or “happiness”). In the present paper, we use panel quantile regression techniques in order to analyze to what extent the negative impact of unemployment varies along the subjective well-being distribution. In our analysis of British Household Panel Survey data (1996–2008) we find that, over the […]
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Policy Notes No. 4
June 04, 2014
Μια δεκαετία στασιμότητας των μισθών
AbstractΣτα τέλη της δεκαετίας του 1990, τα χαμηλά ποσοστά ανεργίας, οι αυξήσεις του κατώτατου μισθού και οι βελτιώσεις στην παραγωγικότητα της εργασίας συνέβαλαν στην άνοδο των μισθών, που μεταφράστηκε σε μια αθροιστική αύξηση των πραγματικών μισθών της τάξης του 12,4% από τα τέλη της δεκαετίας του 1990 μέχρι το 2002. Οι πραγματικοί μισθοί έμειναν στάσιμοι […]
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Policy Notes No. 4
June 04, 2014
A Decade of Flat Wages?
AbstractIn the late 1990s low unemployment rates, increases in the minimum wage, and improvements in labor productivity contributed to a boost in wages, which translated into 12.4 percent cumulative growth in real wages from the late ‘90s until 2002. Real wages then stagnated despite continued growth in labor productivity. This period between 2002 and 2013 […]
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Working Paper No. 807
June 04, 2014
Income Distribution Macroeconomics
AbstractRecent research stresses the macroeconomic dimension of income distribution, but no theory has yet emerged. In this note, we introduce factor shares into popular growth models to gain insights into the macroeconomic effects of income distribution. The cost of modifying existing models is low compared to the benefits. We find, analytically, that (1) the multiplier […]
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Public Policy Brief No. 134
June 03, 2014
Ένα βιώσιμο νομισματικό πλαίσιο μιας ανεξάρτητης Σκωτίας
AbstractΟι ψηφοφόροι στη Σκωτία θα αποφασίσουν το Σεπτέμβριο αν θα παραμείνουν στο Ηνωμένο Βασίλειο. Αν ψηφίσουν υπέρ της ανεξαρτησίας, θα πρέπει να γίνουν στρατηγικής σημασίας επιλογές που αφορούν την έκταση της οικονομικής κυριαρχίας της Σκωτίας και τη μελλοντική της σχέση με το Ηνωμένο Βασίλειο. Με φόντο την καταστροφή στην ευρωζώνη, είναι σημαντικό να γίνουν οι […]
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Public Policy Brief No. 134
June 03, 2014
A Sustainable Monetary Framework for an Independent Scotland
AbstractThis September, voters in Scotland will decide whether to break away from the United Kingdom. If supporters of independence carry the day, pivotal choices that affect the scope of Scotland’s economic sovereignty and its future relationship to the UK will need to be made, particularly with respect to the question of its currency. As the […]
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Working Paper No. 806
May 30, 2014
The Great Recession and Unpaid Work Time in the United States
AbstractPoverty status is an important factor influencing household production and the unpaid work time associated with it due to the role of household production as a coping strategy in mitigating the impact of economic downturns. In this paper, we examine the presence of poverty-based asymmetries in the unpaid work time changes of men and women […]
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Working Paper No. 805
May 30, 2014
What Do We Know About the Labor Share and the Profit Share? Part III
AbstractEconomic theory frequently assumes constant factor shares and often treats the topic as secondary. We will show that this is a mistake by deriving the first high-frequency measure of the US labor share for the whole economy. We find that the labor share has held remarkably steady indeed, but that the quasi-stability masks a sizable […]
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Working Paper No. 804
May 21, 2014
What Do We Know About the Labor Share and the Profit Share? Part II
AbstractIn this second part of our study we survey the rapidly expanding empirical literature on the determinants of the functional distribution of income. Three major strands emerge: technological change, international trade, and financialization. All contribute to the fluctuations of the labor share, and there is a significant amount of self-reinforcement among these factors. For the […]
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Working Paper No. 803
May 21, 2014
What Do We Know About the Labor Share and the Profit Share? Part I
AbstractThis series of working papers explores a theme enjoying a tremendous resurgence: the functional distribution of income—the division of aggregate income by factor share. This first installment surveys some landmark theories of income distribution. Some provide a technology-based account of the relative shares while others provide a demand-driven explanation (Keynes, Kalecki, Kaldor, Goodwin). Two questions […]
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Working Paper No. 802
May 21, 2014
Shadow Banking
AbstractCentral banks responded with exceptional liquidity support during the financial crisis to prevent a systemic meltdown. They broadened their tool kit and extended liquidity support to nonbanks and key financial markets. Many want central banks to embrace this expanded role as “market maker of last resort” going forward. This would provide a liquidity backstop for […]
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Working Paper No. 801
May 21, 2014
The Political Economy of Shadow Banking
AbstractThis paper describes the political economy of shadow banking and how it relates to the dramatic institutional changes experienced by global capitalism over past 100 years. We suggest that the dynamics of shadow banking rest on the distributive tension between workers and firms. Politics wedge the operation of the shadow financial system as government policy […]
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Public Policy Brief No. 133
May 14, 2014
Dead Economic Dogmas Trump Recovery: The Continuing Crisis in the Eurozone Periphery
AbstractThe “happy talk” emanating from eurozone officials regarding the economic crises in the periphery deserves some vigorous pushback. Focusing on the four bailed-out countries of Greece, Ireland, Portugal, and Spain, Research Associate and Policy Fellow C. J. Polychroniou argues in this policy brief that, contrary to the burgeoning optimism in official communications, these countries’ economies […]
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Working Paper No. 800
May 08, 2014
Autonomy-enhancing Paternalism
AbstractBehavioral economics has shown that individuals sometimes make decisions that are not in their best interests. This insight has prompted calls for behaviorally informed policy interventions popularized under the notion of “libertarian paternalism.” This type of “soft” paternalism aims at helping individuals without reducing their freedom of choice. We highlight three problems of libertarian paternalism: […]
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Working Paper No. 799
May 06, 2014
Monetary Mechanics
AbstractThis paper develops the framework of analysis of monetary systems put together by authors such as Macleod, Keynes, Innes, and Knapp. This framework does not focus on the functions performed by an object but rather on its financial characteristics. Anything issued by anybody can be a monetary instrument and any type of material can be […]
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