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Policy Note No. 7November 04, 2015
Losing Ground
AbstractUS labor force participation has continued to fall in the wake of the Great Recession. Improvements in the US unemployment rate reflect the fact that more people are falling out…more
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Working Paper No. 852October 30, 2015
The Malady of Low Global Interest Rates
AbstractLong-term interest rates in advanced economies have been low since the global financial crisis. However, in the United States the Federal Reserve could begin to hike its policy rate, the…more
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Working Paper No. 851October 28, 2015
Money Creation under Full-reserve Banking
AbstractThis paper presents a stock-flow consistent model+ of full-reserve banking. It is found that in a steady state, full-reserve banking can accommodate a zero-growth economy and provide both full employment…more
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Working Paper No. 850October 28, 2015
The Macroeconomics of a Financial Dutch Disease
AbstractWe describe the medium-run macroeconomic effects and long-run development consequences of a financial Dutch disease that may take place in a small developing country with abundant natural resources. The first…more
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Working Paper No. 849October 23, 2015
Bank Leverage Ratios and Financial Stability
AbstractBank leverage ratios have made an impressive and largely unopposed return; they are mostly used alongside risk-weighted capital requirements. The reasons for this return are manifold, and they are not…more
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Working Paper No. 848October 23, 2015
Is Monetary Financing Inflationary?
AbstractHistorically high levels of private and public debt coupled with already very low short-term interest rates appear to limit the options for stimulative monetary policy in many advanced economies today….more
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One-Pager No. 50October 22, 2015
A Public Investment Priority for Job Creation in Turkey
AbstractThis one-pager presents the key findings and policy recommendations of the research project report The Impact of Public Investment in Social Care Services on Employment, Gender Equality, and Poverty: The…more
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Working Paper No. 847October 16, 2015
Integration, Spurious Convergence, and Financial Fragility
AbstractThe Spanish crisis is generally portrayed as resulting from excessive spending by households, associated with a housing bubble and/or excessive welfare spending beyond the economic possibilities of the country. We…more
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Working Paper No. 846October 09, 2015
Secular Stagnation or Stagnation Policy?
AbstractThe current debate on secular stagnation is suffering from some vagueness and several shortcomings. The same is true for the economic policy implications. Therefore, we provide an alternative view on…more
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Working Paper No. 845September 30, 2015
The Euro’s Savior?
AbstractThis study assesses the European Central Bank’s (ECB) crisis management performance and potential for crisis resolution. The study investigates the institutional and functional constraints that delineate the ECB’s scope for…more
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Book SeriesSeptember 29, 2015
Modern Money Theory: A Primer on Macroeconomics for Sovereign Monetary Systems, Second Edition
AbstractIn a completely revised second edition, Senior Scholar L. Randall Wray presents the key principles of Modern Money Theory, exploring macro accounting, monetary and fiscal policy, currency regimes, and exchange…more
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Research Project ReportSeptember 22, 2015
The Impact of Public Investment in Social Care Services on Employment, Gender Equality, and Poverty
AbstractProduced in partnership with the International Labour Organization, United Nations Development Programme, and UN Women, this report examines the demand-side rationale for a public investment in the social care sector—specifically,…more
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Policy Note No. 5August 05, 2015
The BRICS Initiatives in the Current Global Conjuncture
AbstractDeveloping countries, led by China and other BRICS members (Brazil, Russia, India, and South Africa), have been successfully organizing alternative sources of credit flows, aiming for financial stability, growth, and…more
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Working Paper No. 844July 29, 2015
A Nonbehavioral Theory of Saving
AbstractWe present a model where the saving rate of the household sector, especially households at the bottom of the income distribution, becomes the endogenous variable that adjusts in order for…more
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Working Paper No. 843July 27, 2015
Is a Very High Public Debt a Problem?
AbstractThis paper has two main objectives. The first is to propose a policy architecture that can prevent a very high public debt from resulting in a high tax burden, a…more
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Working Paper No. 842July 24, 2015
Making the Euro Viable
AbstractThe euro crisis remains unresolved and the euro currency union incomplete and extraordinarily vulnerable. The euro regime’s essential flaw and ultimate source of vulnerability is the decoupling of central bank…more
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Working Paper No. 841July 24, 2015
Marx’s Theory of Money and 21st-century Macrodynamics
AbstractMarx’s theory of money is critiqued relative to the advent of fiat and electronic currencies and the development of financial markets. Specific topics of concern include (1) today’s identity of…more
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Working Paper No. 840July 02, 2015
The Effects of a Euro Exit on Growth, Employment, and Wages
AbstractA technical analysis shows that the doomsayers who support the euro at all costs and those who naively theorize that a single currency is the root of all evil are…more
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Working Paper No. 839June 01, 2015
Inside Money in a Kaldor-Kalecki-Steindl Fiscal Policy Model
AbstractWe hope to model financial fragility and money in a way that captures much of what is crucial in Hyman Minsky’s financial fragility hypothesis. This approach to modeling Minsky may…more
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Working Paper No. 838May 28, 2015
Unpaid Work and the Economy
AbstractUnpaid work, which falls outside of the national income accounts but within the general production boundary, is viewed as either “care” or as “work” by experts. This work is almost…more
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Working Paper No. 838May 28, 2015
Οικονομία και μη αμειβόμενη εργασία
AbstractΗ μη αμειβόμενη εργασία, η οποία εμπίπτει εντός των γενικών ορίων παραγωγής, αλλά εκτός των λογαριασμών εθνικού εισοδήματος, θεωρείται από τους εμπειρογνώμονες είτε ως «φροντίδα» είτε ως «εργασία». Η μη…more
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Strategic AnalysisMay 14, 2015
Η δημοσιονομική λιτότητα, η ανατίμηση του δολαρίου και τα προβλήματα κατανομής θα οδηγήσουν στον εκτροχιασμό της οικονομίας των ΗΠΑ
AbstractΣτην τελευταία στρατηγική ανάλυση, η ομάδα του μακροοικονομετρικού υποδείγματος του Ινστιτούτου εξετάζει την πρόσφατη, αναιμική ανάκαμψη της αμερικανικής οικονομίας. Οι συγγραφείς εντοπίζουν τρία διαρθρωτικά εμπόδια—την αδύναμη απόδοση των καθαρών εξαγωγών,…more
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Strategic AnalysisMay 14, 2015
Fiscal Austerity, Dollar Appreciation, and Maldistribution Will Derail the US Economy
AbstractIn this latest Strategic Analysis, the Institute’s Macro Modeling Team examines the current, anemic recovery of the US economy. The authors identify three structural obstacles—the weak performance of net exports,…more
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Working Paper No. 837May 06, 2015
Χρηματοδότηση της κεφαλαιακής ανάπτυξης της οικονομίας
AbstractΗ παρούσα εργασία εξετάζει το ρόλο που διαδραματίζει η χρηματοδότηση στην προώθηση της κεφαλαιακής ανάπτυξης της οικονομίας, με ιδιαίτερη έμφαση στην τρέχουσα κατάσταση στις Ηνωμένες Πολιτείες και το Ηνωμένο Βασίλειο….more
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