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194 publications found, searching for 'Financial Instability '
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One-Pager No. 54
February 06, 2018
Why the United States Will Beat China to the Next Minsky Moment
AbstractThe outgoing governor of the People’s Bank of China recently warned of a possible Chinese “Minsky moment”—Paul McCulley’s term, most recently applied to the 2007 US real estate crash that reverberated around the world as a global financial crisis. Although Western commentators have weighed in on both sides of the debate about the likelihood of […]
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Policy Notes No. 1
February 06, 2018
Does the United States Face Another Minsky Moment?
AbstractIt is beginning to look a lot like déjà vu in the United States. According to Senior Scholar L. Randall Wray, the combination of overvalued stocks, overleveraged banks, an undersupervised financial system, high indebtedness across sectors, and growing inequality together should remind one of the conditions of 1929 and 2007. Comparing the situations of the […]
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Working Paper No. 896
September 04, 2017
Minsky’s Financial Fragility
AbstractThe present paper applies Hyman P. Minsky’s insights on financial fragility in order to analyze the behavior of electricity distribution companies in Brazil from 2007 to 2015. More specifically, it builds an analytical framework to classify the firms operating in this sector into Minskyan risk categories and assess how financial fragility evolved over time, in […]
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Policy Notes No. 2
July 07, 2017
The Concert of Interests in the Age of Trump
AbstractIf the Trump administration is to fulfill its campaign promises to this age’s “forgotten” men and women, Director of Research Jan Kregel argues, it should embrace the broader lesson of the 1930s: that government regulation and fiscal policy are crucial in addressing changes in the economic and financial structure that have exacerbated the problems faced […]
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Working Paper No. 892
June 21, 2017
Understanding Financialization
AbstractSince the death of Hyman Minsky in 1996, much has been written about financialization. This paper explores the issues that Minsky examined in the last decade of his life and considers their relationship to that financialization literature. Part I addresses Minsky’s penetrating observations regarding what he called money manager capitalism. Part II outlines the powerful […]
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Working Paper No. 875
September 27, 2016
Minsky at Basel
AbstractThe global financial crisis shattered the conventional wisdom about how financial markets work and how to regulate them. Authorities intervened to stop the panic—short-term pragmatism that spoke volumes about the robustness of mainstream economics. However, their very success in taming the collapse reduced efforts to radically change the “big bank” business model and lessened the […]
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Working Paper No. 869
June 24, 2016
Have We Been Here Before?
AbstractThis paper explores from a historical perspective the process of financialization over the course of the 20th century. We identify four phases of financialization: the first, from the 1900s to 1933 (early financialization); the second, from 1933 to 1940 (transitory phase); the third, between 1945 and 1973 (definancialization); and the fourth period begins in the […]
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Public Policy Brief No. 141
March 25, 2016
What We Could Have Learned from the New Deal in Confronting the Recent Global Recession
AbstractTo the extent that policymakers have learned anything at all from the Great Depression and the policy responses of the 1930s, the lessons appear to have been the wrong ones. In this public policy brief, Director of Research Jan Kregel explains why there is still a great deal we have to learn from the New […]
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Book Series
November 05, 2015
Financial Regulation in the European Union
AbstractHave past and more recent regulatory changes contributed to increased financial stability in the European Union (EU), or have they improved the efficiency of individual banks and national financial systems within the EU? Edited by Rainer Kattel, Tallinn University of Technology, Director of Research Jan Kregel, and Mario Tonveronachi, University of Siena, this volume offers […]
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Book Series
November 05, 2015
Why Minsky Matters: An Introduction to the Work of a Maverick Economist
AbstractPerhaps no economist was more vindicated by the global financial crisis than Hyman P. Minsky (1919–1996). Although a handful of economists raised alarms as early as 2000, Minsky’s warnings began a half century earlier, with writings that set out a compelling theory of financial instability. Yet even today he remains largely outside mainstream economics; few […]
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Working Paper No. 849
October 23, 2015
Bank Leverage Ratios and Financial Stability
AbstractBank leverage ratios have made an impressive and largely unopposed return; they are mostly used alongside risk-weighted capital requirements. The reasons for this return are manifold, and they are not limited to the fact that bank equity levels in the wake of the global financial crisis (GFC) were exceptionally thin, necessitating a string of costly […]
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Working Paper No. 847
October 16, 2015
Integration, Spurious Convergence, and Financial Fragility
AbstractThe Spanish crisis is generally portrayed as resulting from excessive spending by households, associated with a housing bubble and/or excessive welfare spending beyond the economic possibilities of the country. We put forward a different hypothesis. We argue that the Spanish crisis resulted, in the main, from a widening deficit position in the nonfinancial corporate sector—the […]
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Working Paper No. 839
June 01, 2015
Inside Money in a Kaldor-Kalecki-Steindl Fiscal Policy Model
AbstractWe hope to model financial fragility and money in a way that captures much of what is crucial in Hyman Minsky’s financial fragility hypothesis. This approach to modeling Minsky may be unique in the formal Minskyan literature. Namely, we adopt a model in which a psychological variable we call financial prudence (P) declines over time […]
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Working Paper No. 837
May 06, 2015
Χρηματοδότηση της κεφαλαιακής ανάπτυξης της οικονομίας
AbstractΗ παρούσα εργασία εξετάζει το ρόλο που διαδραματίζει η χρηματοδότηση στην προώθηση της κεφαλαιακής ανάπτυξης της οικονομίας, με ιδιαίτερη έμφαση στην τρέχουσα κατάσταση στις Ηνωμένες Πολιτείες και το Ηνωμένο Βασίλειο. Ορίζουμε τόσο την έννοια της «χρηματοδότησης» όσο και αυτή της «κεφαλαιακής ανάπτυξης» της οικονομίας με αρκετά ευρύ τρόπο. Ξεκινάμε με την παρατήρηση ότι το χρηματοπιστωτικό […]
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Working Paper No. 837
May 06, 2015
Financing the Capital Development of the Economy
AbstractThis paper discusses the role that finance plays in promoting the capital development of the economy, with particular emphasis on the current situation of the United States and the United Kingdom. We define both “finance” and “capital development” very broadly. We begin with the observation that the financial system evolved over the postwar period, from […]
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One-Pager No. 49
May 01, 2015
Δανείζοντας στα τυφλά
AbstractΤα πρακτικά του 2008 της Ομοσπονδιακής Επιτροπής Ανοικτής Αγοράς παρέχουν ένα σπάνιο πορτραίτο του τρόπου με τον οποίον οι χαράκτες πολιτικής ανταποκρίθηκαν στην εξέλιξη της μεγαλύτερης χρηματοπιστωτικής κρίσης στον κόσμο μετά τη Μεγάλη Ύφεση του ΄30. Τα πρακτικά αποκαλύπτουν ότι η Ομοσπονδιακή Επιτροπή Ανοικτής Αγοράς δεν είχε ικανοποιητική κατανόηση των τεραστίων διαστάσεων που είχε λάβει […]
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One-Pager No. 49
May 01, 2015
Lending Blind
AbstractThe 2008 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) transcripts provide a rare portrait of how policymakers responded to the unfolding of the world’s largest financial crisis since the Great Depression. The transcripts reveal an FOMC that lacked a satisfactory understanding of a shadow banking system that had grown to enormous proportions—an FOMC that neither comprehended the […]
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Research Project Report
April 06, 2015
Reforming the Fed’s Policy Response in the Era of Shadow Banking
AbstractThis monograph is part of the Levy Institute’s Research and Policy Dialogue Project on Improving Governance of the Government Safety Net in Financial Crisis, a two-year project funded by the Ford Foundation. This is the fourth in a series of reports summarizing the findings of the Research and Policy Dialogue Project on Improving Governance of […]
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Policy Notes No. 1
February 12, 2015
Europe at the Crossroads
AbstractGiven the continuing divergence between progress in the monetary field and political integration in the euro area, the German interest in imposing austerity may be seen as representing an attempt to achieve, de facto, accelerated progress toward political union; progress that has long been regarded by Germany as a precondition for the success of monetary […]
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Policy Notes No. 1
February 12, 2015
Η Ευρώπη στο σταυροδρόμι
AbstractΜε δεδομένη τη συνεχιζόμενη απόκλιση ανάμεσα στην πρόοδο στον τομέα της νομισματικής και της πολιτικής ολοκλήρωσης στη ζώνη του ευρώ, το ενδιαφέρον της Γερμανίας σχετικά με την επιβολή της λιτότητας μπορεί να θεωρηθεί ότι αντιπροσωπεύει μια προσπάθεια για την επιτάχυνση της προόδου προς την πολιτική ένωση, η πρόοδος της οποίας θεωρείται από τη Γερμανία ως […]
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Working Paper No. 829
January 22, 2015
Η κατάργηση του νόμου Glass-Steagall και η έκτακτη παρέμβαση του Ομοσπονδιακού Αποθεματικού κατά τη διάρκεια της παγκόσμιας χρηματοοικονομικής κρίσης
AbstractΠριν από την παγκόσμια χρηματοπιστωτική κρίση επικρατούσε η αντίληψη ότι η στήριξη του δανειστή έσχατης καταφυγής περιοριζόταν στις εμπορικές τράπεζες. Ωστόσο, κατά τη διάρκεια της κρίσης, η Ομοσπονδιακή Τράπεζα των ΗΠΑ δημιούργησε μια σειρά από μηχανισμούς για τη στήριξη των χρηματομεσιτών και των διαπραγματευτών, των αμοιβαίων κεφαλαίων, την εμπορική χρηματική αγορά, την αγορά ενυπόθηκων τίτλων […]
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Working Paper No. 829
January 22, 2015
The Repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act and the Federal Reserve’s Extraordinary Intervention during the Global Financial Crisis
AbstractBefore the global financial crisis, the assistance of a lender of last resort was traditionally thought to be limited to commercial banks. During the crisis, however, the Federal Reserve created a number of facilities to support brokers and dealers, money market mutual funds, the commercial paper market, the mortgage-backed securities market, the triparty repo market, […]
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Working Paper No. 828
January 15, 2015
Η χρηματιστικοποίηση και οι εταιρικές επενδύσεις
AbstractΗ χρηματιστικοποίηση ανοίγει χώρο στις οικονομίες για την επέκταση του χρηματοοικονομικού τομέα και, με αυτόν τον τρόπο, συμβάλλει στην αύξηση του μεριδίου των χρηματοοικονομικών περιουσιακών στοιχείων στα χαρτοφυλάκια που κατέχονται από τους συμμετέχοντες στην αγορά. Η διαδικασία της χρηματιστικοποίησης, που καθοδηγείται σε μεγάλο βαθμό από την απορρύθμιση, λειτουργεί με το να καθιστά τα χρηματοοικονομικά περιουσιακά […]
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Working Paper No. 828
January 15, 2015
Financialization and Corporate Investments
AbstractFinancialization creates space for the financial sector in economies, and in doing so helps to raise the share of financial assets in the portfolios held by market participants. Largely driven by deregulation, the process works to make financial assets relatively attractive as compared to other assets, by offering both better returns and potential capital gains. […]
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