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Working Paper No. 715
Tracking the Middle-income Trap
This paper provides a working definition of what the middle-income trap is. We start by defining four income groups of GDP per capita in 1990 PPP dollars: low-income below $2,000; lower-middle-income between $2,000 and $7,250; upper-middle-income between $7,250 and $11,750; and high-income above $11,750. We then classify 124 countries for which we have consistent data […]
Blog
Where Will US Growth Come From If Austerity Reigns?
That’s one of the questions the Levy Institute’s latest Strategic Analysis asks as it examines the Congressional Budget Office’s projections for growth and employment in the context of tighter and tighter government budgets. At the federal level alone we’re facing a well-publicized “fiscal cliff” in 2013, featuring large scheduled spending cuts and the expiration of [...]
Blog
Godley’s Seven Unsustainable Processes
Over at his Concerted Action blog, Ramanan has a post featuring some of Wynne Godley’s Levy Institute publications with special attention paid to Godley’s prescient “Seven Unsustainable Processes,” which appeared in 1999 as part of the Levy Institute’s continuing Strategic Analysis series. Ramanan (whose blog derives its name from Godley’s last Strategic Analysis [2008]) quotes [...]
Working Paper No. 714
Managing Global Financial Flows at the Cost of National Autonomy
The narrative as well as the analysis of global imbalances in the existing literature are incomplete without the part of the story that relates to the surge in capital flows experienced by the emerging economies. Such analysis disregards the implications of capital flows on their domestic economies, especially in terms of the “impossibility” of following […]
Blog
Hudson: Where Is the Leisure Society?
From a February 2012 presentation delivered by Research Associate Michael Hudson: Suppose you were alive back in 1945 and were told about all the new technology that would be invented between then and now: the computers and internet, mobile phones and other consumer electronics, faster and cheaper air travel, super trains and even outer space [...]
Blog
Minsky’s Contribution to Theory of Asset Market Bubbles
Below is the abstract of a presentation to be delivered by Frank Veneroso on Monday April 30th (1:30pm) at the Levy Institute: Most orthodox explanations of what we call asset bubbles and financial crises attribute them to exogenous shocks to the economy. For example, a Fed monetary policy error supposedly caused the Great Depression with [...]
Could Germany Leave the Eurozone?
As stocks continue to plunge in Europe and on Wall Street, Masters and Papadimitriou revisit the malaise in the eurozone, where the cost of Spanish debt has reached unsustainable levels, austerity has proven to be disastrous, and there is no money for stimulus. Full audio of the interview is available here.
Blog
Athens-based “Express” Dedicates Page in Its Sunday Edition to Levy Institute Research
The Levy Institute has announced its collaboration with the daily financial newspaper Express, based in Athens, Greece. Beginning with its April 22 issue, Express will publish each week, on a specially designated page in its Sunday edition, articles, research summaries, and interviews by Levy Institute scholars and associates. The collaboration is a natural extension of [...]
Press Release
Significant Increase in Fiscal Stimulus Needed to Reduce Unemployment and Spur Growth, New Levy Study Says
Press Release
European Debt Crisis Far from Over, New Levy Economics Institute Study Says
Blog
Will Germany Break Out of the Box It Has Put Itself In?
In a radio segment for Ian Masters’ “Background Briefing,” Dimitri Papadimitriou speculates that Germany might just end up being the eurozone country that decides it’s not worth staying in the union. Germany, says Papadimitriou, has boxed itself in such that, as one of the only eurozone countries that’s growing, it must ultimately bear the major [...]
Blog
Would a Substantial Fall in Unemployment Help Single-parent Families?
(click to enlarge) Has the tough labor market of the past five years caused an increase in the severity of the economic problems facing women who are raising children mostly on their own? In this blog entry, we provide updated information on a topic featured in a 2010 post to this blog. The idea [...]