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Reports analyzing US economic performance and policies, based on our proprietary macro model
57 publications found, searching for 'Strategic Analysis '
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Strategic AnalysisOctober 16, 2013
Rescuing the Recovery: Prospects and Policies for the United States
AbstractIf the Congressional Budget Office’s recent projections of government revenues and outlays come to pass, the United States will not grow fast enough to bring down the unemployment rate between…more
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Strategic AnalysisMarch 19, 2013
Ισχύει ακόμη η σύνδεση παραγωγής και δημιουργίας θέσεων εργασίας;
AbstractΚαθώς ετοιμάζεται να δημοσιευθεί η παρούσα έκθεση, η ανεργία παραμένει σε εξαιρετικά υψηλά επίπεδα ακόμη και σε σχέση με ανάλογα χρονικά σημεία από προηγούμενες περιόδους οικονομικής ανάκαμψης. Η οικονομία των…more
Download Στρατηγικη Αναλυση, Μάρτιος 2013 PDF (3.79 MB) -
Strategic AnalysisMarch 19, 2013
Is the Link between Output and Jobs Broken?
AbstractAs this report goes to press, the official unemployment rate remains tragically elevated, compared even to rates at similar points in previous recoveries. The US economy seems once again to…more
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Strategic AnalysisApril 15, 2012
Πίσω στις συνήθεις τακτικές ή δημοσιονομική τόνωση;
AbstractΑν και η οικονομία φαίνεται να βελτιώνεται σταδιακά, οι ευρείς δείκτες καταγράφουν ότι το 14.5% του αμερικανικού εργατικού δυναμικού είναι άνεργο ή υποαπασχολήσιμο, ποσοστό όχι πολύ χαμηλότερο από το 16.2%…more
Download Στρατηγική Ανάλυση, Απρίλιος 2012 PDF (1.09 MB) -
Strategic AnalysisApril 15, 2012
Back to Business as Usual? Or a Fiscal Boost?
AbstractThough the economy appears to be gradually gaining momentum, broad measures indicate that 14.5 percent of the US labor force is unemployed or underemployed, not much below the 16.2 percent…more
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Strategic AnalysisDecember 06, 2011
Είναι βιώσιμη η ανάκαμψη;
AbstractΗ δημοσιονομική λιτότητα είναι πλέον ένα παγκόσμιο φαινόμενο και η επιβράδυνση της παγκόσμιας ανάπτυξης δεν ευνοεί τις προοπτικές της δημοσιονομικής πολιτικής σε εθνικό επίπεδο. Σύμφωνα με τις baseline προβλέψεις της…more
Download Στρατηγική Ανάλυση, Δεκέμβριος 2011 PDF (1.39 MB) -
Strategic AnalysisDecember 06, 2011
Is the Recovery Sustainable?
AbstractFiscal austerity is now a worldwide phenomenon, and the global growth slowdown is highly unfavorable for policymakers at the national level. According to our Macro Modeling Team’s baseline forecast, fears…more
Download Strategic Analysis, December 2011 PDF (1.87 MB) -
Strategic AnalysisMarch 10, 2011
Jobless Recovery Is No Recovery: Prospects for the US Economy
AbstractThe US economy grew reasonably fast during the last quarter of 2010, and the general expectation is that satisfactory growth will continue in 2011–12. The expansion may, indeed, continue into…more
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Strategic AnalysisMarch 10, 2010
Getting Out of the Recession?
AbstractResearch Scholar Gennaro Zezza updates the Levy Institute’s previous Strategic Analysis (December 2009) and finds that the 2009 increase in public sector aggregate demand was a result of the fiscal…more
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Strategic AnalysisDecember 03, 2009
Sustaining Recovery: Medium-term Prospects and Policies for the US Economy
AbstractThough recent market activity and housing reports give some warrant for optimism, United States economic growth was only 2.8 percent in the third quarter, and the unemployment rate is still…more
Download Strategic Analysis, December 2009 PDF (2.30 MB) -
Strategic AnalysisApril 09, 2009
Recent Rise in Federal Government and Federal Reserve Liabilities: Antidote to a Speculative Hangover
AbstractFederal government and Federal Reserve (Fed) liabilities rose sharply in 2008. Who holds these new liabilities, and what effects will they have on the economy? Some economists and politicians warn…more
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Strategic AnalysisApril 02, 2009
A “People First” Strategy: Credit Cannot Flow When There Are No Creditworthy Borrowers or Profitable Projects
AbstractIn 1930, John Maynard Keynes wrote: “The world has been slow to realise that we are living this year in the shadow of one of the greatest economic catastrophes of…more
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Strategic AnalysisJanuary 06, 2009
Flow of Funds Figures Show the Largest Drop in Household Borrowing in the Last 40 Years
AbstractThe Federal Reserve’s latest flow-of-funds data reveal that household borrowing has fallen sharply lower, bringing about a reversal of the upward trend in household debt. According to the Levy Institute’s…more
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Strategic AnalysisDecember 24, 2008
Prospects for the United States and the World: A Crisis That Conventional Remedies Cannot Resolve
AbstractThe economic recovery plans currently under consideration by the United States and many other countries seem to be concentrated on the possibility of using expansionary fiscal and monetary policies alone….more
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Strategic AnalysisApril 09, 2008
Fiscal Stimulus—Is More Needed?
AbstractAs the government prepares to dispense the tax rebates that largely make up its recently approved $168 billion stimulus package, President Dimitri B. Papadimitriou and Research Scholars Greg Hannsgen and…more
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Strategic AnalysisNovember 30, 2007
The US Economy: Is There a Way Out of the Woods?
AbstractIn their latest Strategic Analysis, Distinguished Scholar Wynne Godley, President Dimitri B. Papadimitriou, and Research Scholars Greg Hannsgen and Gennaro Zezza review recent events in the housing and financial markets…more
Download Strategic Analysis, November 2007 PDF (316.57 KB) -
Strategic AnalysisApril 30, 2007
The US Economy: What’s Next?
AbstractThe collapse in the subprime mortgage market, along with multiple signals of distress in the broader housing market, has already drawn forth a large body of comment. Some people think…more
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Strategic AnalysisNovember 14, 2006
Can Global Imbalances Continue?
AbstractIn this new Strategic Analysis, we review what we believe is the most important economic policy issue facing policymakers in the United States and abroad: the prospect of a growth…more
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Strategic AnalysisMay 18, 2006
Can the Growth in the US Current Account Deficit Be Sustained?
AbstractCan the growth in the current account deficit be sustained? How does the flow of deficits feed the stock of debt? How will the burden of servicing this debt affect…more
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Strategic AnalysisJanuary 01, 2006
Are Housing Prices, Household Debt, and Growth Sustainable?
AbstractRising home prices and low interest rates have fueled the recent surge in mortgage borrowing and enabled consumers to spend at high rates relative to their income. Low interest rates…more
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Strategic AnalysisSeptember 06, 2005
The United States and Her Creditors
AbstractThe main arguments in this paper can be simply stated: 1) If output in the United States grows fast enough to keep unemployment constant between now and 2010, and if…more
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Strategic AnalysisMarch 01, 2005
How Fragile Is the US Economy?
AbstractAs we projected in a previous Strategic Analysis, the United States’ economy experienced growth rates higher than 4 percent in 2004. The question we want to raise in this Strategic…more
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Strategic AnalysisAugust 01, 2004
Prospects and Policies for the US Economy
AbstractThe American economy has grown reasonably fast since the second half of 2003, and the general expectation seems to be that satisfactory growth will continue more or less indefinitely. This…more
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Strategic AnalysisApril 01, 2004
Is Deficit-financed Growth Limited?
AbstractWynne Godley, our Levy Institute colleague, has warned since 1999 that the falling personal saving and rising borrowing trends that had powered the US economic expansion were not sustainable. He…more
Download Strategic Analysis, April 2004 PDF (728.10 KB)